Northwestern State

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

10.0%Northwestern State

90.0%California

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCalifornia -15.0

PROJECTED TOTAL143.8

MODEL MONEYLINECalifornia -900

California

22-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthwestern State 64

Projected Total143.8

Projected ScoreCalifornia 79

Team Comparison

Northwestern StateMetricCalifornia

41.3MMH Power Index56.5

104.0Offensive Efficiency111.8

109.0Defensive Efficiency104.8

-5.0Net Efficiency7.0

-1.6Strength of Schedule2.8

-4.9Last 10 Net Efficiency1.8

63.6Tempo69.9

49.5%Effective FG%52.6%

17.6%Turnover Rate14.9%

27.1%Offensive Rebound %26.6%

41.2%Free Throw Rate36.8%

-3.2Average Margin4.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

California HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY90.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCalifornia holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (56.5–41.3), offensive efficiency (111.8–104.0), defensive efficiency (104.8–109.0), net efficiency (7.0–-5.0).

Northwestern State COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (27.1–26.6), free throw rate (41.2–36.8).

Final

Northwestern State

66—84

California

California by 18 • 64.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northwestern StateTEAM STATCalifornia

25-58FG28-53

43.0%FG%53.0%

8-203PT12-25

40.0%3PT%48.0%

8-16FT16-21

50.0%FT%76.0%

31Rebounds35

13Offensive Rebounds11

13Assists11

11Turnovers13

6Steals2

2Blocks6

19Fouls18

Player Box Score

Northwestern State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Landyn Jumawan	G	29	5-8	4-7	1-2	2	2	0	0	15
Love Bettis	G	26	4-13	1-4	3-4	1	4	1	0	12
Jon Sanders II	G	29	4-10	1-4	1-2	6	6	2	0	10
Willie Williams	F	23	4-4	0-0	1-3	3	0	0	0	9
JT Warren	Forward	23	3-6	2-3	0-0	4	0	0	0	8
Micah Thomas	G	12	2-6	0-2	0-1	1	0	1	0	4
Addison Patterson	F	10	1-5	0-0	1-2	3	1	1	0	3
Lado Laku	Forward	17	1-1	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	1	2
Jerald Colonel	F	15	1-4	0-0	0-0	4	0	1	1	2
Chris Mubiru	G	10	0-1	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	0	1
J.C. Riley Jr.	C	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Dontae Walker	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

California

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Andrej Stojakovic	G	35	10-14	4-6	7-8	7	4	0	3	31
Jeremiah Wilkinson	G	22	7-11	2-5	2-2	2	1	1	0	18
Joshua Ola-Joseph	F	24	3-9	3-7	4-4	2	0	1	0	13
Jovan Blacksher Jr.	Guard	32	5-8	2-3	0-1	1	3	0	0	12
Rytis Petraitis	F	33	2-5	1-3	2-4	8	2	0	1	7
Lee Dort	F	11	1-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	2	2
Mady Sissoko	Center	29	0-1	0-0	1-2	7	1	0	0	1
Spencer Mahoney	F	7	0-3	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Christian Tucker	Guard	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.3Possessions64.3

102.6Offensive Efficiency130.6

130.6Defensive Efficiency102.6

-28.0Net Efficiency28.0

50.0%Effective FG%64.2%

50.3%True Shooting %66.7%

17.3%Turnover Rate20.0%

27.6%Free Throw Rate39.6%

34.5%3-Point Rate47.2%

1.18Assist / Turnover0.85

Game Summary

California won by 18 points. The game played at approximately 64.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.