Central Michigan

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

23.7%Central Michigan

76.3%Valparaiso

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADValparaiso -8.7

PROJECTED TOTAL148.1

MODEL MONEYLINEValparaiso -322

Valparaiso

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCentral Michigan 70

Projected Total148.1

Projected ScoreValparaiso 78

Team Comparison

Central MichiganMetricValparaiso

44MMH Power Index49.9

105.9Offensive Efficiency106.6

111.0Defensive Efficiency105.8

-5.1Net Efficiency0.8

-0.5Strength of Schedule0.3

1.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.1

69.3Tempo67.5

52.6%Effective FG%48.7%

18.3%Turnover Rate15.6%

29.6%Offensive Rebound %32.4%

32.9%Free Throw Rate40.0%

-3.5Average Margin0.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Valparaiso HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY76.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMValparaiso holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.9–44.0), offensive efficiency (106.6–105.9), defensive efficiency (105.8–111.0), net efficiency (0.8–-5.1).

Central Michigan COUNTERS WITHrecent form (1.3–-0.1), shooting efficiency (52.6–48.7).

Final

Central Michigan

77—93

Valparaiso

Valparaiso by 16 • 79.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Central MichiganTEAM STATValparaiso

23-55FG27-58

42.0%FG%47.0%

4-173PT11-26

24.0%3PT%42.0%

27-34FT28-31

79.0%FT%90.0%

33Rebounds35

9Offensive Rebounds9

5Assists12

16Turnovers16

8Steals9

1Blocks1

18Fouls24

Player Box Score

Central Michigan

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Anthony Pritchard	Guard	37	6-15	1-4	7-8	6	3	1	0	20
Ugnius Jarusevicius	F	31	6-12	0-2	6-9	6	0	0	0	18
Jakobi Heady	G	38	4-11	0-1	5-5	6	1	3	0	13
Cayden Vasko	G	35	3-6	0-3	4-4	5	1	2	1	10
Damarion Bonds	G	21	3-5	3-4	1-2	1	0	1	0	10
Kyler Vanderjagt	G	26	1-5	0-2	1-2	0	0	1	0	3
Hunter Harding	C	6	0-1	0-1	3-4	0	0	0	0	3
Bryan Ndjonga	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Valparaiso

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
All Wright	G	32	7-16	4-8	8-8	2	3	1	0	26
Tyler Schmidt	G	35	5-12	4-5	7-8	6	2	2	0	21
Jefferson De La Cruz Monegro	G	27	3-5	2-3	8-8	3	2	1	0	16
Cooper Schwieger	F	28	4-9	0-4	0-0	3	0	1	1	8
Darius DeAveiro	Guard	21	2-3	0-0	3-4	2	1	2	0	7
Isaiah Shaw	G	18	2-5	1-3	2-2	3	1	1	0	7
Justus McNair	G	6	3-4	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	6
Kaspar Sepp	F	22	1-2	0-1	0-1	11	3	1	0	2
Devon Ellis	F	9	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Louth-M Coulibaly	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

79.0Possessions79.0

97.5Offensive Efficiency117.7

117.7Defensive Efficiency97.5

-20.3Net Efficiency20.3

45.5%Effective FG%56.0%

54.1%True Shooting %63.9%

20.5%Turnover Rate20.1%

61.8%Free Throw Rate53.4%

30.9%3-Point Rate44.8%

0.31Assist / Turnover0.75

Game Summary

Valparaiso won by 16 points. The game played at approximately 79.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.