Wagner

14-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

49.5%Wagner

50.5%NJIT

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNJIT -0.2

PROJECTED TOTAL141.6

MODEL MONEYLINENJIT -102

NJIT

16-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreWagner 71

Projected Total141.6

Projected ScoreNJIT 71

Team Comparison

WagnerMetricNJIT

42.9MMH Power Index38.5

105.5Offensive Efficiency98.1

106.1Defensive Efficiency107.2

-0.6Net Efficiency-9.1

-5.0Strength of Schedule-0.5

0.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.8

67.6Tempo68.3

50.2%Effective FG%47.0%

18.9%Turnover Rate16.9%

34.0%Offensive Rebound %26.9%

31.6%Free Throw Rate34.0%

-0.4Average Margin-6.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Wagner HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY50.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWagner holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (42.9–38.5), offensive efficiency (105.5–98.1), defensive efficiency (106.1–107.2), net efficiency (-0.6–-9.1).

NJIT COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.5–-5.0), ball security (16.9–18.9), free throw rate (34.0–31.6).

Final

Wagner

50—43

NJIT

Wagner by 7 • 63.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

WagnerTEAM STATNJIT

18-63FG16-58

29.0%FG%28.0%

4-223PT4-22

18.0%3PT%18.0%

10-17FT7-9

59.0%FT%78.0%

52Rebounds38

19Offensive Rebounds8

8Assists5

11Turnovers10

6Steals8

3Blocks4

13Fouls15

Player Box Score

Wagner

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ja'Kair Sanchez	G	24	6-14	1-5	2-2	5	0	0	1	15
Zae Blake	G	25	5-11	1-4	0-0	3	0	0	0	11
R.J. Greene	G	26	2-9	0-1	2-4	7	0	1	0	6
Javier Ezquerra	G	40	1-8	1-6	2-4	5	6	2	0	5
Di'Andre Howell-South	G	25	1-5	0-2	2-4	6	1	2	0	4
Keyontae Lewis	F	22	1-7	0-0	1-1	6	0	0	0	3
Zavier Fitch	F	21	1-5	0-1	1-2	10	1	1	2	3
Tyje Kelton	F	17	1-4	1-3	0-0	6	0	0	0	3

NJIT

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Sebastian Robinson	G	38	6-15	0-3	2-2	4	2	2	0	14
Tim Moore Jr.	F	32	4-9	0-1	3-4	10	0	2	1	11
Tariq Francis	G	37	2-18	2-10	0-0	3	3	0	0	6
Jordan Rogers	F	26	2-4	1-1	0-0	2	0	3	1	5
Ari Fulton	G	34	1-5	1-5	0-0	7	0	1	2	3
Walt Andrews Jr.	Guard	11	1-5	0-2	1-1	3	0	0	0	3
Levi Lawal	Forward	22	0-2	0-0	1-2	4	0	0	0	1

Advanced Game Stats

63.7Possessions63.7

78.5Offensive Efficiency67.5

67.5Defensive Efficiency78.5

11.0Net Efficiency-11.0

31.7%Effective FG%31.0%

35.2%True Shooting %34.5%

17.4%Turnover Rate15.6%

27.0%Free Throw Rate15.5%

34.9%3-Point Rate37.9%

0.73Assist / Turnover0.50

Game Summary

Wagner won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 63.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.