Central Arkansas

22-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

9.9%Central Arkansas

90.1%Arkansas

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas -14.1

PROJECTED TOTAL168.6

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas -910

Arkansas

28-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCentral Arkansas 77

Projected Total168.6

Projected ScoreArkansas 91

Team Comparison

Central ArkansasMetricArkansas

54MMH Power Index69.3

113.9Offensive Efficiency122.2

105.2Defensive Efficiency109.8

8.7Net Efficiency12.4

-3.9Strength of Schedule8.6

9.8Last 10 Net Efficiency3.4

71.0Tempo73.8

54.3%Effective FG%56.4%

15.3%Turnover Rate12.2%

29.6%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

30.7%Free Throw Rate36.5%

6.1Average Margin9.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY90.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (69.3–54.0), offensive efficiency (122.2–113.9), net efficiency (12.4–8.7), strength of schedule (8.6–-3.9).

Central Arkansas COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (105.2–109.8), recent form (9.8–3.4).

Final

Central Arkansas

57—57

Arkansas

Tied • 65.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Central ArkansasTEAM STATArkansas

18-54FG18-54

33.0%FG%33.0%

7-283PT7-28

25.0%3PT%25.0%

14-18FT14-18

78.0%FT%78.0%

22Rebounds22

6Offensive Rebounds6

8Assists8

9Turnovers9

6Steals6

1Blocks1

9Fouls9

Player Box Score

Central Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Elias Cato	Forward	33	4-11	0-5	7-8	2	0	0	1	15
Layne Taylor	G	36	5-13	3-8	0-0	3	3	0	0	13
Ben Fox	Guard	30	2-7	2-6	6-8	2	0	0	0	12
Brayden Fagbemi	G	35	3-11	2-5	1-2	2	2	3	0	9
Mike Evbagharu	G	18	2-6	0-1	0-0	5	2	0	0	4
Cole McCormick	F	16	2-5	0-3	0-0	1	0	2	0	4
Ubong-Abasi Etim	C	16	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Nehemiah Turner	F	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Diogo Seixas	Forward	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Ethan Thomas	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Owen Derhmann	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Arkansas

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Elias Cato	Forward	33	4-11	0-5	7-8	2	0	0	1	15
Layne Taylor	G	36	5-13	3-8	0-0	3	3	0	0	13
Ben Fox	Guard	30	2-7	2-6	6-8	2	0	0	0	12
Brayden Fagbemi	G	35	3-11	2-5	1-2	2	2	3	0	9
Mike Evbagharu	G	18	2-6	0-1	0-0	5	2	0	0	4
Cole McCormick	F	16	2-5	0-3	0-0	1	0	2	0	4
Ubong-Abasi Etim	C	16	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Nehemiah Turner	F	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Diogo Seixas	Forward	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Ethan Thomas	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Owen Derhmann	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.6Possessions65.6

86.9Offensive Efficiency86.9

86.9Defensive Efficiency86.9

0.0Net Efficiency0.0

39.8%Effective FG%39.8%

45.6%True Shooting %45.6%

13.7%Turnover Rate13.7%

33.3%Free Throw Rate33.3%

51.9%3-Point Rate51.9%

0.89Assist / Turnover0.89

Game Summary

Neither team finished level. The game played at approximately 65.6 possessions.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.