Utah Valley

25-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

59.2%Utah Valley

40.8%Jacksonville State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUtah Valley -2.5

PROJECTED TOTAL145.7

MODEL MONEYLINEUtah Valley -145

Jacksonville State

15-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUtah Valley 74

Projected Total145.7

Projected ScoreJacksonville State 72

Team Comparison

Utah ValleyMetricJacksonville State

59.1MMH Power Index51.2

113.4Offensive Efficiency108.2

97.3Defensive Efficiency101.8

16.1Net Efficiency6.4

-3.3Strength of Schedule-2.3

6.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.3

70.6Tempo67.2

56.0%Effective FG%51.0%

19.9%Turnover Rate17.0%

36.2%Offensive Rebound %31.3%

37.3%Free Throw Rate44.5%

11.4Average Margin4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Utah Valley HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY59.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUtah Valley holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.1–51.2), offensive efficiency (113.4–108.2), defensive efficiency (97.3–101.8), net efficiency (16.1–6.4).

Jacksonville State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.3–-3.3), ball security (17.0–19.9), free throw rate (44.5–37.3).

Final

Utah Valley

66—70

Jacksonville State

Jacksonville State by 4 • 68.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Utah ValleyTEAM STATJacksonville State

23-60FG23-55

38.0%FG%42.0%

6-283PT8-16

21.0%3PT%50.0%

14-21FT16-20

67.0%FT%80.0%

37Rebounds39

11Offensive Rebounds7

9Assists8

11Turnovers9

2Steals5

7Blocks1

17Fouls14

Player Box Score

Utah Valley

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dominick Nelson	G	30	6-12	2-5	6-9	3	1	0	0	20
Tanner Toolson	G	31	6-11	1-6	6-9	8	2	0	0	19
Hayden Welling	F	23	4-10	0-2	0-0	3	1	0	0	8
Jackson Holcombe	G	18	3-5	0-1	0-1	5	0	0	2	6
Noah Taitz	G	14	1-3	1-3	2-2	3	1	1	1	5
Trevan Leonhardt	G	29	1-7	1-6	0-0	3	1	0	0	3
Kylin Green	G	11	1-4	1-2	0-0	2	1	1	0	3
Osiris Grady	F	20	1-5	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Carter Welling	F	18	0-1	0-1	0-0	4	2	0	4	0
Cory Wells	F	5	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Majer Sullivan	Center	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Jacksonville State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jaron Pierre Jr.	G	39	9-22	3-6	5-6	8	4	1	0	26
Jao Ituka	G	19	2-3	2-3	4-4	0	0	0	0	10
Jamar Franklin	G	28	3-5	2-4	1-2	2	0	1	0	9
Koree Cotton	G	26	3-4	0-1	0-0	2	2	0	0	6
Michael Houge	F	20	2-7	1-2	0-0	8	0	0	0	5
Mason Nicholson	F	24	1-3	0-0	2-2	8	0	1	1	4
Iaroslav Niagu	F	13	2-5	0-0	0-2	6	1	1	0	4
Quel'Ron House	G	9	0-1	0-0	4-4	0	1	1	0	4
Marcellus Brigham Jr.	Forward	22	1-5	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

68.3Possessions68.3

96.6Offensive Efficiency102.5

102.5Defensive Efficiency96.6

-5.9Net Efficiency5.9

43.3%Effective FG%49.1%

47.2%True Shooting %54.3%

15.7%Turnover Rate13.5%

35.0%Free Throw Rate36.4%

46.7%3-Point Rate29.1%

0.82Assist / Turnover0.89

Game Summary

Jacksonville State won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 68.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, True Shooting %, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.