Southern Illinois

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

37.0%Southern Illinois

63.0%Austin Peay

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAustin Peay -5.0

PROJECTED TOTAL150.4

MODEL MONEYLINEAustin Peay -170

Austin Peay

22-9

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSouthern Illinois 73

Projected Total150.4

Projected ScoreAustin Peay 78

Team Comparison

Southern IllinoisMetricAustin Peay

54.6MMH Power Index54.8

103.4Offensive Efficiency115.0

98.5Defensive Efficiency103.1

4.9Net Efficiency11.9

1.6Strength of Schedule-5.8

7.7Last 10 Net Efficiency8.1

70.6Tempo71.0

49.5%Effective FG%53.9%

17.0%Turnover Rate15.3%

31.1%Offensive Rebound %30.3%

32.3%Free Throw Rate39.0%

3.4Average Margin8.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Austin Peay HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY63.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAustin Peay holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.8–54.6), offensive efficiency (115.0–103.4), net efficiency (11.9–4.9), recent form (8.1–7.7).

Southern Illinois COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (98.5–103.1), strength of schedule (1.6–-5.8), offensive rebounding (31.1–30.3).

Final

Southern Illinois

65—60

Austin Peay

Southern Illinois by 5 • 63.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Southern IllinoisTEAM STATAustin Peay

24-56FG19-48

43.0%FG%40.0%

6-163PT6-21

38.0%3PT%29.0%

11-17FT16-24

65.0%FT%67.0%

34Rebounds35

13Offensive Rebounds12

12Assists6

12Turnovers17

3Steals6

3Blocks2

19Fouls18

Player Box Score

Southern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ali Dibba	G	30	7-13	1-3	3-6	5	2	0	0	18
Jarrett Hensley	Forward	27	4-12	1-4	4-4	3	0	0	1	13
Kennard Davis Jr.	F	34	3-7	2-3	4-6	8	3	1	0	12
Davion Sykes	G	16	4-4	1-1	0-0	2	0	0	1	9
Sheridan Sharp	G	29	2-6	1-2	0-0	2	3	0	0	5
Damien Mayo Jr.	G	19	1-4	0-1	0-0	3	1	1	0	2
Rolyns Aligbe	F	12	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	2
Antwaun Massey	F	11	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Jorge Moreno	F	5	1-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Drew Steffe	G	17	0-5	0-2	0-1	4	3	0	1	0

Austin Peay

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Sai Witt	Forward	29	8-17	0-1	9-14	10	0	1	1	25
Tekao Carpenter	G	31	4-8	2-5	2-3	0	0	0	0	12
Isaac Haney	Guard	32	2-10	1-7	2-2	3	0	0	0	7
Tate McCubbin	G	17	2-3	2-3	1-2	1	0	1	0	7
Quan Lax	PG	30	2-3	1-2	0-0	6	1	3	0	5
Akili Evans	Guard	24	1-5	0-3	0-0	4	2	0	0	2
Darius Dawson	Guard	16	0-1	0-0	2-3	7	0	0	1	2
Anton Brookshire	PG	17	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	3	1	0	0
JaVar Daniel	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Me'Kell Burries	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.8Possessions63.8

101.9Offensive Efficiency94.0

94.0Defensive Efficiency101.9

7.8Net Efficiency-7.8

48.2%Effective FG%45.8%

50.7%True Shooting %50.5%

19.0%Turnover Rate26.4%

30.4%Free Throw Rate50.0%

28.6%3-Point Rate43.8%

1.00Assist / Turnover0.35

Game Summary

Southern Illinois won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 63.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.