Saint Francis

7-24

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

29.8%Saint Francis

70.2%Niagara

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNiagara -6.8

PROJECTED TOTAL144.2

MODEL MONEYLINENiagara -236

Niagara

8-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSaint Francis 69

Projected Total144.2

Projected ScoreNiagara 76

Team Comparison

Saint FrancisMetricNiagara

32.7MMH Power Index35.8

101.2Offensive Efficiency100.8

114.7Defensive Efficiency112.4

-13.5Net Efficiency-11.6

-2.3Strength of Schedule-0.8

-10.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.6

70.6Tempo63.4

49.8%Effective FG%50.9%

18.3%Turnover Rate18.8%

28.4%Offensive Rebound %24.9%

31.2%Free Throw Rate27.3%

-9.5Average Margin-7.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Niagara HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY70.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNiagara holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (35.8–32.7), defensive efficiency (112.4–114.7), net efficiency (-11.6–-13.5), strength of schedule (-0.8–-2.3).

Saint Francis COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (101.2–100.8), ball security (18.3–18.8), offensive rebounding (28.4–24.9).

Final

Saint Francis

66—69

Niagara

Niagara by 3 • 63.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Saint FrancisTEAM STATNiagara

27-58FG25-57

47.0%FG%44.0%

10-253PT13-30

40.0%3PT%43.0%

2-4FT6-7

50.0%FT%86.0%

31Rebounds34

5Offensive Rebounds7

17Assists17

8Turnovers10

6Steals4

3Blocks3

11Fouls8

Player Box Score

Saint Francis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Miles Webb	F	28	7-12	1-3	2-2	10	3	1	1	17
Juan Cranford Jr.	G	29	5-9	3-6	0-0	3	2	1	0	13
Jeremy Clayville	G	27	4-4	2-2	0-2	3	2	3	0	10
Riley Parker	G	30	4-6	1-3	0-0	1	4	0	0	9
Daemar Kelly	G	32	3-8	2-4	0-0	3	3	0	1	8
Bobby Rosenberger III	Guard	27	3-10	1-6	0-0	4	1	0	0	7
Aidan Harris	Forward	9	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	2
Chris Moncrief	G	13	0-6	0-1	0-0	5	2	0	1	0
Victor Payne	G	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Niagara

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Justice Smith	Forward	26	7-12	3-3	0-0	5	2	0	0	17
Jahari Williamson	G	29	4-9	4-8	2-2	2	3	0	0	14
Justin Page	G	33	5-13	2-7	0-0	5	3	0	0	12
Zion Russell	G	20	3-5	2-3	0-0	1	3	1	0	8
Jaeden Marshall	G	19	2-5	1-2	2-2	2	2	0	0	7
Olumide Adelodun	Forward	26	2-7	0-5	0-1	4	2	2	0	4
Damondre McKnight	Guard	10	1-2	1-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	3
Jhaylon Martinez	Center	20	0-1	0-0	2-2	7	1	1	1	2
Will Shortt	F	17	1-3	0-0	0-0	6	0	0	2	2

Advanced Game Stats

63.1Possessions63.1

104.6Offensive Efficiency109.4

109.4Defensive Efficiency104.6

-4.8Net Efficiency4.8

55.2%Effective FG%55.3%

55.1%True Shooting %57.2%

12.7%Turnover Rate15.8%

6.9%Free Throw Rate12.3%

43.1%3-Point Rate52.6%

2.13Assist / Turnover1.70

Game Summary

Niagara won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 63.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.