San Diego

12-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

21.0%San Diego

79.0%Fresno State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADFresno State -9.3

PROJECTED TOTAL150.7

MODEL MONEYLINEFresno State -376

Fresno State

13-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSan Diego 71

Projected Total150.7

Projected ScoreFresno State 80

Team Comparison

San DiegoMetricFresno State

39.8MMH Power Index47.1

106.2Offensive Efficiency104.9

111.1Defensive Efficiency104.9

-4.9Net Efficiency0.0

-1.2Strength of Schedule1.5

-12.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-6.0

70.1Tempo69.4

52.0%Effective FG%51.3%

17.8%Turnover Rate18.2%

29.1%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

26.3%Free Throw Rate35.5%

-3.4Average Margin0.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Fresno State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY79.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMFresno State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (47.1–39.8), defensive efficiency (104.9–111.1), net efficiency (0.0–-4.9), strength of schedule (1.5–-1.2).

San Diego COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (106.2–104.9), shooting efficiency (52.0–51.3), ball security (17.8–18.2).

Final

San Diego

65—73

Fresno State

Fresno State by 8 • 71.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

San DiegoTEAM STATFresno State

27-66FG26-61

41.0%FG%43.0%

5-213PT3-17

24.0%3PT%18.0%

6-10FT18-25

60.0%FT%72.0%

41Rebounds40

16Offensive Rebounds14

10Assists9

17Turnovers12

6Steals10

2Blocks6

23Fouls14

Player Box Score

San Diego

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kjay Bradley Jr.	G	34	7-16	0-5	3-4	7	5	2	0	17
Colby Brooks	Forward	15	4-8	0-0	2-2	4	1	1	1	10
Steven Jamerson II	F	22	4-9	0-0	1-3	13	1	1	0	9
Deven Dahlke	Guard	19	3-6	2-5	0-0	2	0	1	0	8
David Simon	F	23	3-6	1-3	0-1	5	0	0	0	7
Joey Chammaa	G	13	2-2	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	5
Santiago Trouet	F	16	2-7	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	4
Bendji Pierre	F	35	1-9	1-6	0-0	3	3	1	0	3
Tony Duckett	G	12	1-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	2
Neel Beniwal	G	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Kean Webb	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Fresno State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jalen Weaver	Guard	37	7-14	1-5	4-4	2	3	2	0	19
Alex Crawford	F	32	8-9	0-0	2-3	4	0	2	1	18
Zaon Collins	G	36	4-12	2-5	0-0	4	2	1	0	10
Elijah Price	F	28	3-5	0-1	4-7	10	0	2	2	10
Pierre Geneste Jr.	C	17	3-5	0-0	2-5	9	0	1	3	8
Mykell Robinson	Forward	30	0-8	0-4	4-4	4	4	1	0	4
Amar Augillard	G	6	1-3	0-1	2-2	2	0	0	0	4
Mor Seck	C	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Brian Amuneke	G	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Jasir Tremble	Guard	4	0-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.4Possessions71.4

91.0Offensive Efficiency102.2

102.2Defensive Efficiency91.0

-11.2Net Efficiency11.2

44.7%Effective FG%45.1%

45.9%True Shooting %50.1%

23.7%Turnover Rate16.9%

15.2%Free Throw Rate41.0%

31.8%3-Point Rate27.9%

0.59Assist / Turnover0.75

Game Summary

Fresno State won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 71.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.