VCU

28-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

65.4%VCU

34.6%Colorado State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADVCU -3.5

PROJECTED TOTAL151.8

MODEL MONEYLINEVCU -189

Colorado State

21-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreVCU 78

Projected Total151.8

Projected ScoreColorado State 74

Team Comparison

VCUMetricColorado State

65.7MMH Power Index55.4

116.4Offensive Efficiency117.1

103.3Defensive Efficiency109.9

13.1Net Efficiency7.2

5.4Strength of Schedule0.4

6.0Last 10 Net Efficiency4.3

69.5Tempo64.7

53.7%Effective FG%58.6%

15.1%Turnover Rate18.3%

31.7%Offensive Rebound %29.2%

42.9%Free Throw Rate41.2%

9.1Average Margin4.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

VCU HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY65.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVCU holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.7–55.4), defensive efficiency (103.3–109.9), net efficiency (13.1–7.2), strength of schedule (5.4–0.4).

Colorado State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (117.1–116.4), shooting efficiency (58.6–53.7).

Final

VCU

76—68

Colorado State

VCU by 8 • 66.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

VCUTEAM STATColorado State

25-57FG26-51

44.0%FG%51.0%

11-303PT5-15

37.0%3PT%33.0%

15-25FT11-13

60.0%FT%85.0%

32Rebounds30

12Offensive Rebounds6

14Assists11

9Turnovers15

8Steals3

5Blocks3

14Fouls18

Player Box Score

VCU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Joe Bamisile	Guard	25	8-16	4-8	5-6	9	1	1	0	25
Max Shulga	Guard	30	7-13	3-5	3-8	10	4	2	1	20
Alphonzo Billups III	G	13	3-6	2-5	0-0	0	0	0	0	8
Phillip Russell	Guard	29	2-7	0-4	2-3	0	2	0	0	6
Jack Clark	Forward	26	1-3	1-3	3-4	6	1	1	1	6
Christian Fermin	F	26	2-3	0-0	1-2	4	0	1	2	5
Zeb Jackson	Guard	13	1-3	1-2	1-2	0	1	0	0	4
Michael Belle	F	10	1-4	0-2	0-0	1	3	0	0	2
Luke Bamgboye	F	12	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	1	0
Brandon Jennings	G	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	1	0	0
Terrence Hill Jr.	G	7	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	1	0	0

Colorado State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Keshawn Williams	G	21	6-8	1-2	1-1	1	1	0	0	14
Nique Clifford	Guard	34	3-11	1-4	5-6	10	4	2	1	12
Jalen Lake	Guard	26	6-14	0-5	0-0	0	0	1	0	12
Rashaan Mbemba	F	19	5-7	0-0	0-0	7	1	0	1	10
Bowen Born	Guard	13	3-4	1-1	2-2	1	0	0	0	9
Jaylen Crocker-Johnson	F	19	1-1	1-1	3-4	2	0	0	0	6
Kyle Jorgensen	F	19	2-3	1-1	0-0	3	1	0	1	5
Kyan Evans	G	27	0-2	0-1	0-0	2	2	0	0	0
Ethan Morton	Guard	22	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.1Possessions66.1

115.0Offensive Efficiency102.9

102.9Defensive Efficiency115.0

12.1Net Efficiency-12.1

53.5%Effective FG%55.9%

55.2%True Shooting %59.5%

13.7%Turnover Rate22.7%

43.9%Free Throw Rate25.5%

52.6%3-Point Rate29.4%

1.56Assist / Turnover0.73

Game Summary

VCU won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 66.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.