Saint Mary's

27-6

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

67.7%Saint Mary's

32.3%Boise State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSaint Mary's -4.4

PROJECTED TOTAL147.9

MODEL MONEYLINESaint Mary's -210

Boise State

20-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSaint Mary's 76

Projected Total147.9

Projected ScoreBoise State 72

Team Comparison

Saint Mary'sMetricBoise State

70.7MMH Power Index59.5

116.7Offensive Efficiency113.9

97.4Defensive Efficiency107.1

19.3Net Efficiency6.8

3.0Strength of Schedule4.2

18.6Last 10 Net Efficiency5.2

66.3Tempo68.6

53.1%Effective FG%52.7%

16.6%Turnover Rate17.0%

37.4%Offensive Rebound %33.8%

36.8%Free Throw Rate42.7%

12.8Average Margin4.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Saint Mary's HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY67.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSaint Mary's holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.7–59.5), offensive efficiency (116.7–113.9), defensive efficiency (97.4–107.1), net efficiency (19.3–6.8).

Boise State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (4.2–3.0), free throw rate (42.7–36.8).

Final

Saint Mary's

65—67

Boise State

Boise State by 2 • 65.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Saint Mary'sTEAM STATBoise State

23-61FG21-51

38.0%FG%41.0%

6-183PT4-14

33.0%3PT%29.0%

13-16FT21-27

81.0%FT%78.0%

29Rebounds38

10Offensive Rebounds11

10Assists6

7Turnovers12

4Steals5

7Blocks6

21Fouls17

Player Box Score

Saint Mary's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Augustas Marciulionis	Guard	43	7-16	0-4	3-4	2	6	0	0	17
Luke Barrett	Forward	45	4-12	3-6	2-2	7	1	0	1	13
Andrew McKeever	C	24	4-7	0-0	1-2	8	0	1	1	9
Mikey Lewis	G	15	3-8	2-5	0-0	1	0	0	1	8
Jordan Ross	G	28	2-6	1-2	2-2	2	2	0	0	7
Mitchell Saxen	Center	40	2-8	0-0	1-2	3	1	2	3	5
Paulius Murauskas	F	14	1-4	0-1	2-2	2	0	1	0	4
Harry Wessels	C	7	0-0	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	1	2
Joshua Dent	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Ashton Hardaway	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Boise State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyson Degenhart	Forward	41	5-13	1-6	8-10	1	1	0	0	19
Alvaro Cardenas	Guard	41	5-8	1-1	3-3	4	4	1	0	14
O'Mar Stanley	Forward	34	5-13	0-1	3-6	11	0	3	3	13
Javan Buchanan	F	26	4-5	2-2	0-0	7	0	1	1	10
Andrew Meadow	F	32	2-5	0-2	5-6	1	0	0	0	9
Julian Bowie	G	9	0-1	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
RJ Keene II	G	30	0-3	0-2	0-0	6	1	0	2	0
Dylan Anderson	C	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Chris Lockett Jr.	G	3	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.2Possessions65.2

99.7Offensive Efficiency102.8

102.8Defensive Efficiency99.7

-3.1Net Efficiency3.1

42.6%Effective FG%45.1%

47.4%True Shooting %52.5%

10.7%Turnover Rate18.5%

26.2%Free Throw Rate52.9%

29.5%3-Point Rate27.5%

1.43Assist / Turnover0.50

Game Summary

Boise State won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 65.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.