Cal Poly

14-19

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

49.8%Cal Poly

50.2%San José State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSan José State -0.6

PROJECTED TOTAL163.2

MODEL MONEYLINESan José State -101

San José State

9-24

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal Poly 81

Projected Total163.2

Projected ScoreSan José State 82

Team Comparison

Cal PolyMetricSan José State

46.5MMH Power Index42

107.2Offensive Efficiency108.7

111.0Defensive Efficiency118.5

-3.8Net Efficiency-9.8

1.7Strength of Schedule1.8

2.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-8.6

76.6Tempo66.2

52.2%Effective FG%50.8%

19.8%Turnover Rate15.2%

29.9%Offensive Rebound %30.7%

35.8%Free Throw Rate34.2%

-2.9Average Margin-6.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cal Poly HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY50.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCal Poly holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (46.5–42.0), defensive efficiency (111.0–118.5), net efficiency (-3.8–-9.8), recent form (2.4–-8.6).

San José State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (108.7–107.2), strength of schedule (1.8–1.7), ball security (15.2–19.8).

Final

Cal Poly

100—107

San José State

San José State by 7 • 89.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal PolyTEAM STATSan José State

38-69FG39-74

55.0%FG%53.0%

12-333PT9-27

36.0%3PT%33.0%

12-18FT20-29

67.0%FT%69.0%

34Rebounds41

6Offensive Rebounds12

18Assists12

18Turnovers14

6Steals7

1Blocks1

22Fouls18

Player Box Score

Cal Poly

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Owen Koonce	Guard	34	10-17	4-6	8-8	8	3	3	0	32
Jarred Hyder	Guard	36	7-19	3-13	1-2	2	4	0	0	18
Peter Bandelj	G	34	6-10	2-4	2-4	7	2	0	0	16
Luka Tarlac	G	37	6-7	0-0	0-0	7	2	2	1	12
Mac Riniker	Guard	35	5-5	0-0	1-4	5	6	1	0	11
Guzman Vasilic	G	30	3-7	2-6	0-0	2	0	0	0	8
Ethan Menzies	Forward	8	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Hayden Jory	Guard	6	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Aaron Price Jr.	PF	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

San José State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Sadaidriene Hall	Forward	35	14-21	2-5	3-5	11	4	3	0	33
Josh Uduje	Guard	32	10-18	1-4	2-4	10	1	2	1	23
Latrell Davis	G	37	7-11	1-3	6-10	4	2	1	0	21
Will McClendon	G	34	4-10	3-7	6-6	6	2	0	0	17
Sadraque NgaNga	F	16	2-4	0-0	2-2	4	0	0	0	6
Pasha Goodarzi	G	20	1-4	1-4	1-2	0	0	0	0	4
Donavan Yap	Guard	33	1-6	1-4	0-0	3	2	0	0	3
Steven Vasquez	Guard	15	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Chol Marial	Center	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

89.7Possessions89.7

111.5Offensive Efficiency119.3

119.3Defensive Efficiency111.5

-7.8Net Efficiency7.8

63.8%Effective FG%58.8%

64.5%True Shooting %61.0%

20.1%Turnover Rate15.6%

26.1%Free Throw Rate39.2%

47.8%3-Point Rate36.5%

1.00Assist / Turnover0.86

Game Summary

San José State won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 89.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.