UC Davis

19-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

52.3%UC Davis

47.7%Sacramento State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Davis -0.9

PROJECTED TOTAL159.7

MODEL MONEYLINEUC Davis -110

Sacramento State

10-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC Davis 80

Projected Total159.7

Projected ScoreSacramento State 79

Team Comparison

UC DavisMetricSacramento State

48.4MMH Power Index43

107.2Offensive Efficiency106.1

103.7Defensive Efficiency112.0

3.5Net Efficiency-5.9

-1.9Strength of Schedule0.9

-0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-7.8

72.4Tempo73.2

52.3%Effective FG%48.5%

17.7%Turnover Rate14.2%

26.7%Offensive Rebound %25.1%

41.5%Free Throw Rate41.8%

2.5Average Margin-4.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UC Davis HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY52.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUC Davis holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (48.4–43.0), offensive efficiency (107.2–106.1), defensive efficiency (103.7–112.0), net efficiency (3.5–-5.9).

Sacramento State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.9–-1.9), ball security (14.2–17.7), free throw rate (41.8–41.5).

Final

UC Davis

69—62

Sacramento State

UC Davis by 7 • 67.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC DavisTEAM STATSacramento State

23-48FG23-55

48.0%FG%42.0%

4-153PT7-22

27.0%3PT%32.0%

19-27FT9-13

70.0%FT%69.0%

33Rebounds30

8Offensive Rebounds9

10Assists13

14Turnovers16

10Steals9

3Blocks—

15Fouls21

Player Box Score

UC Davis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Pablo Tamba	F	37	5-7	0-0	8-11	6	1	3	0	18
Leo DeBruhl	Guard	32	4-7	1-3	5-6	4	3	0	0	14
TY Johnson	Guard	31	6-16	0-3	2-3	3	2	0	0	14
Connor Sevilla	G	22	3-8	2-5	0-0	1	1	1	0	8
Nils Cooper	G	13	2-3	0-0	2-2	1	0	1	0	6
Niko Rocak	F	30	2-3	1-2	0-0	9	1	2	3	5
Carl Daughtery Jr.	G	14	1-4	0-2	1-2	2	0	1	0	3
Sione Lose	Guard	18	0-0	0-0	1-3	3	2	2	0	1
Isaiah Chappell	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Sacramento State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Jacob Holt	Forward	30	7-17	1-7	2-2	7	1	1	17
Julian Vaughns	Guard	25	5-8	3-4	2-2	3	1	1	15
EJ Neal Jr.	G	12	4-5	2-3	0-0	1	0	2	10
Emil Skytta	G	39	3-8	1-3	1-2	6	4	2	8
Bailey Nunn	G	34	3-9	0-2	2-3	3	4	0	8
Chudi Dioramma	F	3	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	2
Lachlan Brewer	G	26	0-2	0-2	1-2	3	1	2	1
Michael Wilson	G	20	0-2	0-1	1-2	3	1	1	1
Bowyn Beatty	F	11	0-2	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.5Possessions67.5

102.2Offensive Efficiency91.9

91.9Defensive Efficiency102.2

10.4Net Efficiency-10.4

52.1%Effective FG%48.2%

56.7%True Shooting %50.7%

21.0%Turnover Rate23.5%

56.3%Free Throw Rate23.6%

31.3%3-Point Rate40.0%

0.71Assist / Turnover0.81

Game Summary

UC Davis won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 67.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.