Vermont

22-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

49.2%Vermont

50.8%Colgate

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADColgate -1.1

PROJECTED TOTAL147.5

MODEL MONEYLINEColgate -103

Colgate

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreVermont 73

Projected Total147.5

Projected ScoreColgate 74

Team Comparison

VermontMetricColgate

53.1MMH Power Index48.8

112.2Offensive Efficiency111.7

104.7Defensive Efficiency109.0

7.5Net Efficiency2.7

-4.4Strength of Schedule-2.0

12.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.3

65.4Tempo68.4

54.1%Effective FG%54.5%

14.4%Turnover Rate14.8%

26.8%Offensive Rebound %26.9%

32.4%Free Throw Rate30.0%

4.9Average Margin1.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Vermont HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY50.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMVermont holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.1–48.8), offensive efficiency (112.2–111.7), defensive efficiency (104.7–109.0), net efficiency (7.5–2.7).

Colgate COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-2.0–-4.4), shooting efficiency (54.5–54.1), offensive rebounding (26.9–26.8).

Final

Vermont

60—65

Colgate

Colgate by 5 • 62.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

VermontTEAM STATColgate

19-49FG22-53

39.0%FG%42.0%

7-233PT7-23

30.0%3PT%30.0%

15-19FT14-18

79.0%FT%78.0%

38Rebounds24

11Offensive Rebounds5

12Assists9

15Turnovers6

4Steals8

4Blocks2

18Fouls15

Player Box Score

Vermont

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nick Fiorillo	Forward	34	8-11	5-7	2-2	6	0	2	1	23
TJ Hurley	G	32	5-11	2-8	7-7	2	1	0	1	19
Shamir Bogues	Guard	34	2-12	0-0	6-10	7	5	1	1	10
Ileri Ayo-Faleye	Forward	35	3-8	0-3	0-0	6	2	0	1	6
Sam Alamutu	G	19	1-1	0-0	0-0	5	1	1	0	2
Jace Roquemore	Guard	30	0-4	0-4	0-0	6	2	0	0	0
Seth Joba	F	10	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Sean Blake	G	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Colgate

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nicolas Louis-Jacques	Guard	32	7-13	3-7	0-0	2	0	0	1	17
Jalen Cox	G	24	6-11	1-4	1-2	3	3	0	0	14
Brady Cummins	G	23	2-6	0-1	7-10	2	0	2	0	11
Sam Wright	F	27	2-7	0-3	3-3	3	0	0	0	7
Blake Forrest	G	16	2-3	1-2	1-1	4	4	1	0	6
Parker Jones	G	26	1-3	1-1	0-0	2	1	1	1	3
Chandler Baker	Guard	19	1-5	1-4	0-0	2	0	2	0	3
Josh Ahayere	G	16	0-2	0-0	2-2	0	1	2	0	2
Cameron Brennan	F	12	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Kyle Carlesimo	G	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

62.3Possessions62.3

96.3Offensive Efficiency104.3

104.3Defensive Efficiency96.3

-8.0Net Efficiency8.0

45.9%Effective FG%48.1%

51.7%True Shooting %52.8%

24.2%Turnover Rate9.6%

38.8%Free Throw Rate34.0%

46.9%3-Point Rate43.4%

0.80Assist / Turnover1.50

Game Summary

Colgate won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 62.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.