Chicago State

7-25

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

7.5%Chicago State

92.5%Mercer

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMercer -18.7

PROJECTED TOTAL151.9

MODEL MONEYLINEMercer -1233

Mercer

19-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreChicago State 67

Projected Total151.9

Projected ScoreMercer 85

Team Comparison

Chicago StateMetricMercer

36.1MMH Power Index54.1

99.4Offensive Efficiency116.6

114.9Defensive Efficiency106.5

-15.5Net Efficiency10.1

0.5Strength of Schedule-4.4

-4.3Last 10 Net Efficiency1.2

66.2Tempo70.9

45.6%Effective FG%53.8%

15.8%Turnover Rate14.7%

29.1%Offensive Rebound %33.6%

30.7%Free Throw Rate38.9%

-10.3Average Margin7.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Mercer HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY92.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMercer holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.1–36.1), offensive efficiency (116.6–99.4), defensive efficiency (106.5–114.9), net efficiency (10.1–-15.5).

Chicago State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.5–-4.4).

Final

Chicago State

63—75

Mercer

Mercer by 12 • 69.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Chicago StateTEAM STATMercer

24-65FG29-66

37.0%FG%44.0%

9-313PT4-24

29.0%3PT%17.0%

6-8FT13-16

75.0%FT%81.0%

35Rebounds44

10Offensive Rebounds13

19Assists11

11Turnovers9

6Steals7

4Blocks2

14Fouls9

Player Box Score

Chicago State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Noble Crawford	Forward	35	8-13	4-7	0-0	9	6	2	1	20
Cameron Jernigan	Forward	28	7-13	1-4	3-4	7	0	2	2	18
Troy McKoy Jr.	Guard	27	3-12	3-10	2-2	3	0	1	0	11
Jalen Forrest	G	29	3-10	1-3	1-2	9	5	0	0	8
Matthew Robinson	Guard	33	1-7	0-5	0-0	4	1	0	0	2
Gabe Spinelli	G	18	1-4	0-0	0-0	0	4	0	0	2
CJ Delancy	F	12	1-3	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	1	2
Saxby Sunderland	Guard	17	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Greg Spate	G	1	0-2	0-2	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Mercer

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ahmad Robinson	G	37	9-16	0-5	7-8	4	2	2	0	25
Marcus Overstreet	F	14	5-6	0-0	0-0	7	0	1	0	10
Angel Montas Jr.	G	16	3-5	1-2	2-2	4	0	0	0	9
Alex Holt	Forward	26	3-8	0-0	2-2	7	1	0	1	8
Cam Bryant	Forward	32	3-5	1-2	0-2	3	3	2	1	7
Brady Shoulders	G	31	3-10	1-5	0-0	12	3	2	0	7
Tyler Johnson	Guard	31	2-12	1-9	2-2	2	2	0	0	7
Jah Quinones	Guard	5	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Jah Nze	Guard	5	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
TJ Grant	G	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.7Possessions69.7

90.4Offensive Efficiency107.6

107.6Defensive Efficiency90.4

-17.2Net Efficiency17.2

43.8%Effective FG%47.0%

45.8%True Shooting %51.0%

15.8%Turnover Rate12.9%

12.3%Free Throw Rate24.2%

47.7%3-Point Rate36.4%

1.73Assist / Turnover1.22

Game Summary

Mercer won by 12 points. The game played at approximately 69.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.