Arkansas State

20-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

39.7%Arkansas State

60.3%UAB

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUAB -3.6

PROJECTED TOTAL160.1

MODEL MONEYLINEUAB -152

UAB

20-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreArkansas State 78

Projected Total160.1

Projected ScoreUAB 82

Team Comparison

Arkansas StateMetricUAB

57.7MMH Power Index56.9

113.1Offensive Efficiency110.5

105.3Defensive Efficiency102.9

7.8Net Efficiency7.6

-1.0Strength of Schedule0.4

15.2Last 10 Net Efficiency2.9

73.3Tempo71.7

52.7%Effective FG%48.8%

19.4%Turnover Rate12.4%

38.1%Offensive Rebound %32.7%

39.6%Free Throw Rate36.9%

5.8Average Margin5.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.7–56.9), offensive efficiency (113.1–110.5), net efficiency (7.8–7.6), recent form (15.2–2.9).

UAB COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (102.9–105.3), strength of schedule (0.4–-1.0), ball security (12.4–19.4).

Final

Arkansas State

98—89

UAB

Arkansas State by 9 • 89.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Arkansas StateTEAM STATUAB

35-79FG31-75

44.0%FG%41.0%

9-273PT10-31

33.0%3PT%32.0%

19-24FT17-24

79.0%FT%71.0%

53Rebounds41

15Offensive Rebounds9

15Assists20

14Turnovers12

8Steals12

8Blocks5

20Fouls19

Player Box Score

Arkansas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Taryn Todd	Guard	41	12-26	4-9	3-4	6	5	1	1	31
Kobe Julien	Forward	34	9-14	2-3	5-6	4	3	2	1	25
Izaiyah Nelson	F	32	6-13	0-1	4-4	14	0	1	3	16
Rashaud Marshall	F	42	4-8	0-0	6-8	13	2	1	1	14
Joseph Pinion	G	40	4-11	3-9	1-2	6	3	0	2	12
Avery Felts	Guard	15	0-3	0-2	0-0	1	1	3	0	0
Kameron Johnson	Forward	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Derrian Ford	G	7	0-3	0-3	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Terrance Ford Jr.	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Justin Johnson	G	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Cody Head	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UAB

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Yaxel Lendeborg	F	43	9-16	1-4	3-4	12	4	1	2	22
Tyren Moore	G	35	8-18	6-12	0-0	3	3	3	0	22
Ja'Borri McGhee	G	34	4-7	1-2	1-2	3	4	2	0	10
Butta Johnson	G	30	3-10	1-6	3-3	2	0	1	0	10
Christian Coleman	G	30	3-8	0-0	2-4	8	2	2	2	8
Alejandro Vasquez	Guard	21	3-9	1-5	1-2	4	4	3	0	8
Bradley Ezewiro	Forward	16	1-3	0-0	3-5	2	0	0	1	5
Tony Toney	Guard	16	0-4	0-2	4-4	2	3	0	0	4

Advanced Game Stats

89.4Possessions89.4

109.6Offensive Efficiency99.6

99.6Defensive Efficiency109.6

10.1Net Efficiency-10.1

50.0%Effective FG%48.0%

54.2%True Shooting %51.5%

15.7%Turnover Rate13.4%

30.4%Free Throw Rate32.0%

34.2%3-Point Rate41.3%

1.07Assist / Turnover1.67

Game Summary

Arkansas State won by 9 points. The game played at approximately 89.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.