Montana State

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

52.0%Montana State

48.0%USC

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUSC -0.0

PROJECTED TOTAL155.7

MODEL MONEYLINEMontana State -108

USC

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMontana State 78

Projected Total155.7

Projected ScoreUSC 78

Team Comparison

Montana StateMetricUSC

53.6MMH Power Index48.3

114.4Offensive Efficiency108.5

104.9Defensive Efficiency107.6

9.5Net Efficiency0.9

-3.7Strength of Schedule2.5

4.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-16.0

68.1Tempo72.4

55.1%Effective FG%50.7%

14.7%Turnover Rate17.2%

28.1%Offensive Rebound %33.2%

30.7%Free Throw Rate45.3%

6.5Average Margin0.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Montana State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY52.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMontana State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–48.3), offensive efficiency (114.4–108.5), defensive efficiency (104.9–107.6), net efficiency (9.5–0.9).

USC COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (2.5–-3.7), offensive rebounding (33.2–28.1), free throw rate (45.3–30.7).

Final

Montana State

63—89

USC

USC by 26 • 75.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Montana StateTEAM STATUSC

20-61FG32-63

33.0%FG%51.0%

5-223PT6-18

23.0%3PT%33.0%

18-25FT19-24

72.0%FT%79.0%

27Rebounds49

7Offensive Rebounds12

13Assists18

12Turnovers11

6Steals9

2Blocks6

18Fouls23

Player Box Score

Montana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brandon Walker	F	19	5-11	0-0	4-7	4	1	1	0	14
Jeremiah Davis	G	13	1-4	1-2	8-8	3	1	0	0	11
Jed Miller	G	18	2-3	1-2	2-2	0	1	1	0	7
Brian Goracke	Forward	19	2-10	1-5	1-2	2	1	0	0	6
Patrick McMahon	G	17	2-3	0-0	2-3	5	1	0	0	6
Max Agbonkpolo	Forward	21	2-9	1-6	0-0	1	0	1	0	5
Chika Nduka	Forward	12	2-4	0-0	1-2	3	1	1	0	5
BJ Kolly	F	10	2-5	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	1	4
Tyler Patterson	Guard	19	1-3	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Bryce Zephir	G	20	1-3	0-1	0-1	2	4	0	0	2
Jabe Mullins	Guard	21	0-5	0-3	0-0	0	2	1	1	0
Sam Lecholat	Forward	11	0-1	0-1	0-0	2	0	1	0	0

USC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Desmond Claude	G	27	6-8	0-1	7-8	6	3	1	1	19
Saint Thomas	Forward	32	7-11	1-1	2-2	7	4	2	3	17
Chibuzo Agbo	Guard	30	3-8	2-5	4-4	5	0	1	2	12
Rashaun Agee	F	16	3-8	0-2	4-4	4	1	1	0	10
Wesley Yates III	G	25	4-12	1-4	0-0	3	2	2	0	9
Jalen Shelley	F	10	2-3	0-1	1-2	2	1	0	0	5
Bryce Pope	Guard	7	2-2	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	5
Josh Cohen	Forward	10	2-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	4
Matt Knowling	Forward	18	1-3	0-0	1-2	4	1	2	0	3
Kevin Patton Jr.	G	1	1-2	1-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Isaiah Elohim	G	9	1-1	0-0	0-2	2	0	0	0	2
Clark Slajchert	Guard	11	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	5	0	0	0
Harrison Hornery	Forward	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	3	1	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

75.7Possessions75.7

83.2Offensive Efficiency117.6

117.6Defensive Efficiency83.2

-34.3Net Efficiency34.3

36.9%Effective FG%55.6%

43.2%True Shooting %59.8%

15.4%Turnover Rate15.0%

41.0%Free Throw Rate38.1%

36.1%3-Point Rate28.6%

1.08Assist / Turnover1.64

Game Summary

USC won by 26 points. The game played at approximately 75.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.