Drake

14-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

35.7%Drake

64.3%Kansas State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADKansas State -4.1

PROJECTED TOTAL159.1

MODEL MONEYLINEKansas State -180

Kansas State

12-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreDrake 77

Projected Total159.1

Projected ScoreKansas State 82

Team Comparison

DrakeMetricKansas State

46.4MMH Power Index47.1

109.5Offensive Efficiency107.8

109.1Defensive Efficiency110.9

0.4Net Efficiency-3.1

0.3Strength of Schedule5.5

-11.3Last 10 Net Efficiency-14.3

68.6Tempo73.8

52.2%Effective FG%53.5%

14.9%Turnover Rate17.4%

27.2%Offensive Rebound %29.4%

34.4%Free Throw Rate27.4%

0.2Average Margin-2.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Drake HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY64.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDrake holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (109.5–107.8), defensive efficiency (109.1–110.9), net efficiency (0.4–-3.1), recent form (-11.3–-14.3).

Kansas State COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (47.1–46.4), strength of schedule (5.5–0.3), shooting efficiency (53.5–52.2).

Final

Drake

73—70

Kansas State

Drake by 3 • 66.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

DrakeTEAM STATKansas State

24-49FG26-52

49.0%FG%50.0%

9-163PT7-21

56.0%3PT%33.0%

16-22FT11-20

73.0%FT%55.0%

31Rebounds26

8Offensive Rebounds8

14Assists21

14Turnovers13

8Steals12

2Blocks3

18Fouls15

Player Box Score

Drake

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mitch Mascari	Guard	45	8-11	8-10	1-2	2	1	0	0	25
Bennett Stirtz	G	45	8-13	1-2	5-6	2	4	3	0	22
Cam Manyawu	F	35	4-7	0-0	3-4	7	0	3	1	11
Daniel Abreu	Forward	45	3-5	0-2	3-4	5	0	2	1	9
Tavion Banks	G	22	1-7	0-1	2-2	6	1	0	0	4
Isaiah Jackson	Guard	30	0-6	0-1	2-4	8	8	0	0	2
Nate Ferguson	Forward	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Kansas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Coleman Hawkins	Guard	38	6-9	1-2	3-8	5	5	4	2	16
David N'Guessan	Guard	40	4-7	0-1	5-7	9	1	1	0	13
Max Jones	Guard	38	4-10	2-6	2-3	2	4	0	0	12
Dug McDaniel	G	32	4-11	1-5	1-2	3	4	1	0	10
C.J. Jones	G	27	4-6	1-2	0-0	1	3	3	1	9
Mobi Ikegwuruka	G	10	2-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	4
Brendan Hausen	G	22	1-5	1-4	0-0	0	1	2	0	3
David Castillo	G	16	1-2	1-1	0-0	0	3	0	0	3
Taj Manning	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.0Possessions66.0

110.6Offensive Efficiency106.1

106.1Defensive Efficiency110.6

4.5Net Efficiency-4.5

58.2%Effective FG%56.7%

61.4%True Shooting %56.9%

21.4%Turnover Rate19.5%

44.9%Free Throw Rate38.5%

32.7%3-Point Rate40.4%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.62

Game Summary

Drake won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 66.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.