Houston Christian

12-20

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

61.0%Houston Christian

39.0%UL Monroe

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADHouston Christian -2.9

PROJECTED TOTAL149.2

MODEL MONEYLINEHouston Christian -156

UL Monroe

4-28

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreHouston Christian 76

Projected Total149.2

Projected ScoreUL Monroe 73

Team Comparison

Houston ChristianMetricUL Monroe

39.5MMH Power Index30.9

102.5Offensive Efficiency101.1

110.3Defensive Efficiency117.1

-7.8Net Efficiency-16.0

-0.6Strength of Schedule-1.0

-8.2Last 10 Net Efficiency-16.2

65.4Tempo71.7

49.9%Effective FG%48.1%

19.0%Turnover Rate16.9%

30.5%Offensive Rebound %25.3%

37.1%Free Throw Rate40.6%

-5.1Average Margin-11.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Houston Christian HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY61.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMHouston Christian holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (39.5–30.9), offensive efficiency (102.5–101.1), defensive efficiency (110.3–117.1), net efficiency (-7.8–-16.0).

UL Monroe COUNTERS WITHball security (16.9–19.0), free throw rate (40.6–37.1).

Final

Houston Christian

74—68

UL Monroe

Houston Christian by 6 • 70.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Houston ChristianTEAM STATUL Monroe

27-62FG28-58

44.0%FG%48.0%

11-313PT5-17

35.0%3PT%29.0%

9-15FT7-12

60.0%FT%58.0%

35Rebounds35

11Offensive Rebounds9

13Assists8

12Turnovers16

14Steals7

4Blocks3

11Fouls13

Player Box Score

Houston Christian

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Julian Mackey	G	34	10-16	6-10	6-7	6	1	3	1	32
Elijah Brooks	G	31	5-11	0-0	2-4	3	3	1	0	12
Bryson Dawkins	G	29	4-9	2-5	1-2	0	2	3	1	11
D'Aundre Samuels	G	8	2-3	2-3	0-0	2	2	0	0	6
Trent Johnson	F	35	2-6	1-3	0-0	7	1	3	0	5
Peyton Rogers	Forward	32	1-8	0-6	0-1	9	4	3	1	2
Porter Bazil	SF	8	1-4	0-2	0-1	2	0	0	1	2
Pierce Bazil	PG	5	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Demari Williams	G	5	1-3	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Ivan Reynolds	Guard	13	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0

UL Monroe

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jalen Bolden	G	40	9-17	0-2	3-5	10	0	4	1	21
Tyreese Watson	G	37	7-10	0-1	3-6	6	3	2	1	17
Coltie Young	Guard	36	4-10	4-10	0-0	4	2	0	0	12
Makai Willis	C	32	5-7	0-0	1-1	5	0	0	1	11
AD Diedhiou	Forward	19	2-3	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	4
Jacob Wilson	G	24	1-7	1-4	0-0	2	2	1	0	3
Jerry Ngopot	F	9	0-3	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Micah Caster	G	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.4Possessions70.4

105.1Offensive Efficiency96.6

96.6Defensive Efficiency105.1

8.5Net Efficiency-8.5

52.4%Effective FG%52.6%

53.5%True Shooting %53.4%

17.1%Turnover Rate22.6%

24.2%Free Throw Rate20.7%

50.0%3-Point Rate29.3%

1.08Assist / Turnover0.50

Game Summary

Houston Christian won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 70.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.