UC San Diego

23-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

13.2%UC San Diego

86.8%Utah State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUtah State -12.7

PROJECTED TOTAL151.3

MODEL MONEYLINEUtah State -658

Utah State

29-7

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUC San Diego 69

Projected Total151.3

Projected ScoreUtah State 82

Team Comparison

UC San DiegoMetricUtah State

53.4MMH Power Index65.7

108.4Offensive Efficiency119.7

100.7Defensive Efficiency103.1

7.7Net Efficiency16.6

-1.3Strength of Schedule3.5

5.4Last 10 Net Efficiency0.3

69.8Tempo68.6

53.1%Effective FG%56.9%

16.4%Turnover Rate15.1%

26.9%Offensive Rebound %33.0%

33.2%Free Throw Rate39.1%

5.4Average Margin11.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Utah State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY86.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUtah State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (65.7–53.4), offensive efficiency (119.7–108.4), net efficiency (16.6–7.7), strength of schedule (3.5–-1.3).

UC San Diego COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (100.7–103.1), recent form (5.4–0.3).

Final

UC San Diego

75—73

Utah State

UC San Diego by 2 • 72.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UC San DiegoTEAM STATUtah State

22-47FG24-60

47.0%FG%40.0%

8-273PT8-28

30.0%3PT%29.0%

23-27FT17-24

85.0%FT%71.0%

36Rebounds34

7Offensive Rebounds12

10Assists14

18Turnovers14

10Steals12

2Blocks3

20Fouls21

Player Box Score

UC San Diego

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyler McGhie	Guard	34	9-18	6-14	2-2	6	0	3	0	26
Aniwaniwa Tait-Jones	Guard	32	5-9	0-0	10-12	6	1	1	1	20
Hayden Gray	Guard	34	5-6	1-2	4-4	4	2	2	0	15
Nordin Kapic	F	31	1-6	1-5	3-4	5	0	3	0	6
Chris Howell	G	32	1-1	0-0	2-2	1	6	1	0	4
Justin Rochelin	G	16	1-3	0-2	2-3	3	0	0	0	4
Aidan Burke	G	11	0-3	0-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Cade Pendleton	F	10	0-1	0-1	0-0	3	1	0	1	0

Utah State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Karson Templin	F	19	5-7	2-3	6-9	6	0	2	1	18
Mason Falslev	G	35	4-11	2-4	6-9	9	5	4	0	16
Deyton Albury	G	26	5-7	2-2	3-4	2	2	0	0	15
Ian Martinez	Guard	33	4-17	2-11	2-2	1	1	1	0	12
Aubin Gateretse	Center	21	2-3	0-0	0-0	5	2	1	1	4
Isaac Johnson	C	5	2-3	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Dexter Akanno	Guard	25	1-7	0-4	0-0	2	0	2	0	2
Tucker Anderson	F	21	1-5	0-3	0-0	2	1	0	1	2
Jordy Barnes	G	12	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	3	2	0	0
Drake Allen	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

72.1Possessions72.1

104.0Offensive Efficiency101.2

101.2Defensive Efficiency104.0

2.8Net Efficiency-2.8

55.3%Effective FG%46.7%

62.7%True Shooting %51.1%

25.4%Turnover Rate19.1%

57.4%Free Throw Rate40.0%

57.4%3-Point Rate46.7%

0.56Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

UC San Diego won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 72.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, True Shooting %, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.