Denver

15-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

44.5%Denver

55.5%Cal Poly

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCal Poly -2.3

PROJECTED TOTAL172.9

MODEL MONEYLINECal Poly -125

Cal Poly

14-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreDenver 85

Projected Total172.9

Projected ScoreCal Poly 88

Team Comparison

DenverMetricCal Poly

49.1MMH Power Index46.5

119.2Offensive Efficiency107.2

119.2Defensive Efficiency111.0

0.0Net Efficiency-3.8

-2.6Strength of Schedule1.7

4.0Last 10 Net Efficiency2.4

69.5Tempo76.6

55.3%Effective FG%52.2%

14.2%Turnover Rate19.8%

30.9%Offensive Rebound %29.9%

35.3%Free Throw Rate35.8%

0.0Average Margin-2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Denver HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY55.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMDenver holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.1–46.5), offensive efficiency (119.2–107.2), net efficiency (0.0–-3.8), recent form (4.0–2.4).

Cal Poly COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (111.0–119.2), strength of schedule (1.7–-2.6), free throw rate (35.8–35.3).

Final

Denver

94—95

Cal Poly

Cal Poly by 1 • 83.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

DenverTEAM STATCal Poly

36-68FG29-61

53.0%FG%48.0%

10-223PT15-39

45.0%3PT%38.0%

12-15FT22-31

80.0%FT%71.0%

31Rebounds41

10Offensive Rebounds17

14Assists18

19Turnovers24

14Steals11

1Blocks6

21Fouls15

Player Box Score

Denver

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nick Shogbonyo	G	38	7-14	3-5	5-6	7	2	1	1	22
DeAndre Craig Jr.	G	35	9-18	2-5	2-2	6	4	3	0	22
Sebastian Akins	G	33	9-16	1-5	2-4	1	2	2	0	21
Isaiah Addo-Ankrah	Guard	27	4-5	3-4	0-0	1	1	2	0	11
Josh Lee	G	34	3-6	0-0	3-3	3	1	2	0	9
Pedro Lopez-Sanvicente	Forward	27	2-7	0-2	0-0	6	3	3	0	4
Benjamin Bowen	G	12	1-1	1-1	0-0	0	1	1	0	3
Josh Pickett	G	19	1-1	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	2

Cal Poly

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jarred Hyder	Guard	41	9-17	8-13	3-4	5	4	2	0	29
Owen Koonce	Guard	40	6-16	3-10	6-6	5	4	0	1	21
Mac Riniker	Guard	38	4-7	0-2	5-9	7	2	4	2	13
Isaac Jessup	Guard	31	4-9	3-8	1-2	2	3	2	0	12
Peter Bandelj	G	30	3-6	0-3	3-4	11	4	1	0	9
Ethan Menzies	Forward	10	1-2	1-1	1-2	0	1	0	1	4
Luka Tarlac	G	10	0-0	0-0	3-4	1	0	1	0	3
Guzman Vasilic	G	15	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	1	2
Aaron Price Jr.	PF	10	1-2	0-1	0-0	2	0	1	1	2

Advanced Game Stats

83.4Possessions83.4

112.7Offensive Efficiency113.9

113.9Defensive Efficiency112.7

-1.2Net Efficiency1.2

60.3%Effective FG%59.8%

62.6%True Shooting %62.7%

22.6%Turnover Rate29.0%

22.1%Free Throw Rate50.8%

32.4%3-Point Rate63.9%

0.74Assist / Turnover0.75

Game Summary

Cal Poly won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 83.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.