Sacramento State

10-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

24.6%Sacramento State

75.4%Oregon State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADOregon State -7.8

PROJECTED TOTAL155.0

MODEL MONEYLINEOregon State -307

Oregon State

17-16

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSacramento State 74

Projected Total155.0

Projected ScoreOregon State 81

Team Comparison

Sacramento StateMetricOregon State

43MMH Power Index48.5

106.1Offensive Efficiency105.8

112.0Defensive Efficiency110.3

-5.9Net Efficiency-4.5

0.9Strength of Schedule4.5

-7.8Last 10 Net Efficiency0.0

73.2Tempo67.2

48.5%Effective FG%50.6%

14.2%Turnover Rate17.7%

25.1%Offensive Rebound %26.4%

41.8%Free Throw Rate43.9%

-4.3Average Margin-3.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Oregon State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY75.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMOregon State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (48.5–43.0), defensive efficiency (110.3–112.0), net efficiency (-4.5–-5.9), strength of schedule (4.5–0.9).

Sacramento State COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (106.1–105.8), ball security (14.2–17.7).

Final

Sacramento State

45—82

Oregon State

Oregon State by 37 • 66.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Sacramento StateTEAM STATOregon State

18-56FG29-54

32.0%FG%54.0%

4-243PT10-26

17.0%3PT%38.0%

5-11FT14-16

45.0%FT%88.0%

28Rebounds37

11Offensive Rebounds6

4Assists16

16Turnovers12

5Steals9

1Blocks3

19Fouls12

Player Box Score

Sacramento State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jacob Holt	Forward	27	3-8	1-2	2-4	5	0	1	0	9
Bailey Nunn	G	30	3-5	2-3	0-0	0	2	1	0	8
Emil Skytta	G	31	3-5	0-1	1-2	5	1	2	0	7
Julian Vaughns	Guard	20	3-13	0-6	1-2	2	0	0	0	7
EJ Neal Jr.	G	27	2-10	1-7	0-0	3	0	1	0	5
Chudi Dioramma	F	13	2-3	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	1	5
Lachlan Brewer	G	29	2-9	0-4	0-1	5	1	0	0	4
Bowyn Beatty	F	14	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Michael Wilson	G	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0

Oregon State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Michael Rataj	G	33	8-12	1-4	6-7	12	1	3	1	23
Liutauras Lelevicius	G	28	4-7	2-4	2-2	5	2	2	0	12
Nate Kingz	G	20	4-9	2-5	0-0	3	2	0	0	10
Josiah Lake II	G	17	3-5	2-4	1-1	1	1	2	0	9
Parsa Fallah	F	20	4-5	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	8
Ja'Quavis Williford	G	8	2-5	1-3	2-2	1	0	0	1	7
Thomas Ndong	F	7	2-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Damarco Minor	G	27	1-3	1-2	0-0	4	6	0	1	3
DaJohn Craig	G	3	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	2	0	0	3
Johan Munch	F	5	0-0	0-0	2-2	1	0	1	0	2
Matthew Marsh	Center	9	0-0	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	1
Isaiah Sy	F	15	0-5	0-3	0-0	0	1	1	0	0
Gavin Marrs	F	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Maxim Logue	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Grey Garrison	Forward	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.9Possessions66.9

67.3Offensive Efficiency122.6

122.6Defensive Efficiency67.3

-55.3Net Efficiency55.3

35.7%Effective FG%63.0%

36.7%True Shooting %66.6%

24.2%Turnover Rate17.8%

19.6%Free Throw Rate29.6%

42.9%3-Point Rate48.1%

0.25Assist / Turnover1.33

Game Summary

Oregon State won by 37 points. The game played at approximately 66.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.