Florida Gulf Coast

16-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

15.6%Florida Gulf Coast

84.4%UNC Wilmington

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUNC Wilmington -12.1

PROJECTED TOTAL150.8

MODEL MONEYLINEUNC Wilmington -541

UNC Wilmington

27-7

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreFlorida Gulf Coast 69

Projected Total150.8

Projected ScoreUNC Wilmington 81

Team Comparison

Florida Gulf CoastMetricUNC Wilmington

48.6MMH Power Index59.2

110.5Offensive Efficiency114.1

109.2Defensive Efficiency101.7

1.3Net Efficiency12.4

-1.8Strength of Schedule-1.5

0.7Last 10 Net Efficiency5.5

70.0Tempo66.9

52.1%Effective FG%51.1%

15.7%Turnover Rate14.8%

32.3%Offensive Rebound %35.8%

29.9%Free Throw Rate41.7%

0.9Average Margin8.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UNC Wilmington HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY84.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUNC Wilmington holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.2–48.6), offensive efficiency (114.1–110.5), defensive efficiency (101.7–109.2), net efficiency (12.4–1.3).

Florida Gulf Coast COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (52.1–51.1).

Final

Florida Gulf Coast

66—79

UNC Wilmington

UNC Wilmington by 13 • 63.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Florida Gulf CoastTEAM STATUNC Wilmington

25-53FG28-57

47.0%FG%49.0%

5-193PT10-32

26.0%3PT%31.0%

11-19FT13-21

58.0%FT%62.0%

32Rebounds36

7Offensive Rebounds9

8Assists14

9Turnovers4

4Steals5

2Blocks1

18Fouls13

Player Box Score

Florida Gulf Coast

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zavian McLean	Guard	33	8-11	1-2	3-5	4	0	0	1	20
Keeshawn Kellman	Forward	32	8-11	0-0	0-1	9	1	0	1	16
Jevin Muniz	G	24	3-6	0-2	3-5	2	3	0	0	9
Rory Stewart	F	23	3-5	3-5	0-0	4	0	0	0	9
Dallion Johnson	Guard	33	2-9	1-5	2-2	3	3	0	0	7
Rahmir Barno	G	26	1-7	0-2	1-2	4	1	3	0	3
Michael Duax	F	14	0-2	0-1	1-2	0	0	0	0	1
Tristen Guillouette	C	4	0-0	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	1
Jack Reddick	G	6	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	0	1	0	0
BB Washington	G	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UNC Wilmington

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Donovan Newby	Not Available	32	7-13	4-9	3-4	1	2	0	0	21
Noah Ross	G	22	5-9	1-4	1-2	6	5	1	0	12
Nolan Hodge	G	29	4-6	2-4	1-4	3	1	1	0	11
Harlan Obioha	C	23	3-3	0-0	3-4	7	0	1	0	9
Sean Moore	Forward	21	1-4	1-4	4-4	6	3	2	0	7
Joshua Corbin	Guard	27	2-7	2-7	0-0	3	1	0	0	6
Greedy Williams	G	13	3-4	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	6
Khamari McGriff	F	16	2-5	0-0	1-3	4	0	0	1	5
Bo Montgomery	Guard	17	1-6	0-4	0-0	3	1	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

63.0Possessions63.0

104.8Offensive Efficiency125.4

125.4Defensive Efficiency104.8

-20.6Net Efficiency20.6

51.9%Effective FG%57.9%

53.2%True Shooting %59.0%

14.1%Turnover Rate6.5%

35.8%Free Throw Rate36.8%

35.8%3-Point Rate56.1%

0.89Assist / Turnover3.50

Game Summary

UNC Wilmington won by 13 points. The game played at approximately 63.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.