Murray State

20-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

62.6%Murray State

37.4%Indiana State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMurray State -2.1

PROJECTED TOTAL159.1

MODEL MONEYLINEMurray State -167

Indiana State

11-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMurray State 81

Projected Total159.1

Projected ScoreIndiana State 78

Team Comparison

Murray StateMetricIndiana State

53.6MMH Power Index44.4

115.0Offensive Efficiency104.7

111.0Defensive Efficiency106.0

4.0Net Efficiency-1.3

3.5Strength of Schedule0.1

-9.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.2

72.3Tempo70.3

54.0%Effective FG%53.6%

16.3%Turnover Rate19.5%

32.7%Offensive Rebound %27.3%

39.1%Free Throw Rate28.8%

2.9Average Margin-0.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Murray State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY62.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMurray State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–44.4), offensive efficiency (115.0–104.7), net efficiency (4.0–-1.3), strength of schedule (3.5–0.1).

Indiana State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (106.0–111.0), recent form (-5.2–-9.5).

Final

Murray State

74—84

Indiana State

Indiana State by 10 • 70.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Murray StateTEAM STATIndiana State

24-58FG29-51

41.0%FG%57.0%

6-233PT9-20

26.0%3PT%45.0%

20-26FT17-23

77.0%FT%74.0%

27Rebounds35

10Offensive Rebounds8

10Assists9

11Turnovers16

9Steals6

2Blocks—

19Fouls22

Player Box Score

Murray State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kylen Milton	Guard	34	7-12	0-3	4-6	4	1	4	0	18
JaCobi Wood	Guard	40	4-11	2-6	5-6	1	4	0	0	15
Terence Harcum	Guard	36	5-13	3-10	0-0	2	1	1	0	13
AJ Ferguson	Guard	19	4-7	1-2	3-3	6	0	2	1	12
Alden Applewhite	F	20	0-2	0-1	6-8	4	3	1	0	6
Nick Ellington	F	20	2-8	0-0	0-1	2	1	0	0	4
Justin Morgan	Guard	20	1-2	0-1	2-2	4	0	1	0	4
KyeRon Lindsay-Martin	F	11	1-3	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	2

Indiana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Samage Teel	Guard	39	10-13	4-7	2-3	2	2	1	26
Jaden Daughtry	F	21	4-7	0-0	4-7	7	0	1	12
Markus Harding	C	18	5-9	1-3	1-2	4	2	1	12
Josiah LeGree	G	24	3-8	1-3	4-4	1	3	0	11
K'mani Doughty	Guard	23	3-4	0-1	0-1	3	0	1	6
Camp Wagner	G	22	2-4	2-4	0-0	4	0	1	6
Jayan Walker	G	17	1-3	0-0	4-4	5	0	1	6
Bruno Alocen	G	21	1-3	1-2	2-2	2	2	0	5
Jahni Summers	G	15	0-0	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.7Possessions70.7

104.7Offensive Efficiency118.8

118.8Defensive Efficiency104.7

-14.1Net Efficiency14.1

46.6%Effective FG%65.7%

52.6%True Shooting %67.8%

15.4%Turnover Rate22.9%

44.8%Free Throw Rate45.1%

39.7%3-Point Rate39.2%

0.91Assist / Turnover0.56

Game Summary

Indiana State won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 70.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Effective FG%, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.