Central Connecticut

18-12

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

24.2%Central Connecticut

75.8%Fairfield

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADFairfield -7.6

PROJECTED TOTAL146.2

MODEL MONEYLINEFairfield -313

Fairfield

21-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCentral Connecticut 69

Projected Total146.2

Projected ScoreFairfield 77

Team Comparison

Central ConnecticutMetricFairfield

44.4MMH Power Index50.1

111.4Offensive Efficiency109.6

107.0Defensive Efficiency105.4

4.4Net Efficiency4.2

-7.7Strength of Schedule-3.4

-0.5Last 10 Net Efficiency3.3

66.3Tempo67.8

54.0%Effective FG%49.1%

15.9%Turnover Rate15.0%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %36.0%

31.3%Free Throw Rate28.4%

2.9Average Margin2.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Fairfield HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY75.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMFairfield holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.1–44.4), defensive efficiency (105.4–107.0), strength of schedule (-3.4–-7.7), recent form (3.3–-0.5).

Central Connecticut COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (111.4–109.6), net efficiency (4.4–4.2), shooting efficiency (54.0–49.1).

Final

Central Connecticut

64—63

Fairfield

Central Connecticut by 1 • 63.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Central ConnecticutTEAM STATFairfield

29-61FG26-62

48.0%FG%42.0%

5-153PT11-26

33.0%3PT%42.0%

1-1FTnull-2

100.0%FT%0.0%

40Rebounds27

12Offensive Rebounds8

16Assists13

14Turnovers9

5Steals7

6Blocks3

7Fouls7

Player Box Score

Central Connecticut

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jayden Brown	Forward	29	7-13	2-3	0-0	12	1	1	3	16
Devin Haid	G	33	6-10	1-3	0-0	3	1	1	0	13
Jordan Jones	Guard	30	6-13	0-2	0-0	4	7	0	0	12
Joe Ostrowsky	Guard	26	3-4	1-2	0-0	5	1	1	0	7
Max Frazier	F	22	3-6	0-0	0-0	5	2	0	2	6
Darin Smith Jr.	F	17	2-5	1-2	0-0	4	0	0	0	5
Abdul Momoh	F	11	1-4	0-0	1-1	3	1	0	1	3
Davonte Sweatman	Guard	24	1-4	0-1	0-0	1	2	1	0	2
James Jones	G	8	0-2	0-2	0-0	1	1	1	0	0

Fairfield

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Deon Perry	Guard	24	5-9	3-6	0-0	1	3	0	0	13
Jamie Bergens	Guard	33	4-11	3-5	0-0	1	2	2	0	11
Peyton Smith	F	25	4-9	1-2	0-0	6	0	1	0	9
Prophet Johnson	G	22	4-8	1-2	0-0	4	1	2	1	9
Louis Bleechmore	Guard	23	3-4	2-2	0-0	1	3	0	0	8
Braden Sparks	G	16	2-3	1-2	0-0	3	1	1	0	5
Birima Seck	Forward	11	2-5	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	0	4
Noah Best	G	16	1-5	0-3	0-2	1	0	0	1	2
Isaac Munkadi	F	4	1-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	1	2
Kyle Jenkins	Forward	17	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	2	1	0	0
Makuei Riek	Guard	7	0-3	0-2	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Matt Curtis	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

63.8Possessions63.8

100.3Offensive Efficiency98.7

98.7Defensive Efficiency100.3

1.6Net Efficiency-1.6

51.6%Effective FG%50.8%

52.1%True Shooting %50.0%

22.1%Turnover Rate14.1%

1.6%Free Throw Rate3.2%

24.6%3-Point Rate41.9%

1.14Assist / Turnover1.44

Game Summary

Central Connecticut won by 1 points. The game played at approximately 63.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency, True Shooting %.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.