Austin Peay

22-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

56.2%Austin Peay

43.8%Ohio

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAustin Peay -2.1

PROJECTED TOTAL159.1

MODEL MONEYLINEAustin Peay -128

Ohio

15-17

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAustin Peay 81

Projected Total159.1

Projected ScoreOhio 78

Team Comparison

Austin PeayMetricOhio

54.8MMH Power Index48

115.0Offensive Efficiency109.7

103.1Defensive Efficiency110.7

11.9Net Efficiency-1.0

-5.8Strength of Schedule-0.1

8.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.0

71.0Tempo71.0

53.9%Effective FG%52.0%

15.3%Turnover Rate15.3%

30.3%Offensive Rebound %28.9%

39.0%Free Throw Rate37.8%

8.4Average Margin-0.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Austin Peay HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY56.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAustin Peay holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.8–48.0), offensive efficiency (115.0–109.7), defensive efficiency (103.1–110.7), net efficiency (11.9–-1.0).

Ohio COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-0.1–-5.8).

Final

Austin Peay

58—78

Ohio

Ohio by 20 • 69.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Austin PeayTEAM STATOhio

17-45FG26-50

38.0%FG%52.0%

5-183PT12-24

28.0%3PT%50.0%

19-34FT14-19

56.0%FT%74.0%

30Rebounds31

10Offensive Rebounds5

11Assists19

18Turnovers15

7Steals11

4Blocks3

21Fouls23

Player Box Score

Austin Peay

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Sai Witt	Forward	32	6-11	0-0	9-16	4	0	1	0	21
Tate McCubbin	G	32	3-6	2-4	3-8	5	1	3	2	11
Terrell Gaines	PG	20	1-4	1-2	3-4	2	1	1	0	6
Anton Brookshire	PG	15	2-2	2-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	6
Isaac Haney	Guard	32	0-5	0-3	4-4	4	5	2	0	4
Akili Evans	Guard	13	2-4	0-2	0-0	1	2	0	1	4
Quan Lax	PG	12	1-2	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
JaVar Daniel	F	5	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	2
Darius Dawson	Guard	5	1-4	0-0	0-2	3	0	0	1	2
Tekao Carpenter	G	26	0-3	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Me'Kell Burries	Guard	8	0-2	0-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Ohio

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
AJ Clayton	Forward	35	8-12	5-8	1-1	6	0	1	0	22
Jackson Paveletzke	G	30	5-6	3-3	5-8	4	11	3	0	18
AJ Brown	G	24	3-4	1-2	2-2	1	3	2	0	9
Ajay Sheldon	G	18	3-4	2-3	1-2	4	1	2	0	9
Elmore James IV	G	24	2-6	1-3	0-0	0	1	1	1	5
Aidan Hadaway	F	25	1-6	0-2	2-2	3	1	0	1	4
Vic Searls	Forward	13	2-5	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	4
Elijah Elliott	G	10	1-1	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	0	3
Shereef Mitchell	Guard	12	0-1	0-0	2-2	2	1	0	0	2
Ayden Evans	F	4	1-3	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	1	2
Ben Estis	Guard	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Ben Nicol	Forward	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	2	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.1Possessions69.1

83.9Offensive Efficiency112.9

112.9Defensive Efficiency83.9

-28.9Net Efficiency28.9

43.3%Effective FG%64.0%

47.4%True Shooting %66.1%

26.0%Turnover Rate21.7%

75.6%Free Throw Rate38.0%

40.0%3-Point Rate48.0%

0.61Assist / Turnover1.27

Game Summary

Ohio won by 20 points. The game played at approximately 69.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.