American University

16-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

27.1%American University

72.9%Saint Joseph's

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSaint Joseph's -6.7

PROJECTED TOTAL145.5

MODEL MONEYLINESaint Joseph's -269

Saint Joseph's

24-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAmerican University 69

Projected Total145.5

Projected ScoreSaint Joseph's 76

Team Comparison

American UniversityMetricSaint Joseph's

48.2MMH Power Index52.5

110.6Offensive Efficiency106.5

105.8Defensive Efficiency102.2

4.8Net Efficiency4.3

-4.3Strength of Schedule-0.2

2.2Last 10 Net Efficiency6.7

67.5Tempo68.7

52.6%Effective FG%49.8%

15.7%Turnover Rate17.0%

28.0%Offensive Rebound %32.4%

30.1%Free Throw Rate31.1%

3.3Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Saint Joseph's HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY72.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSaint Joseph's holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (52.5–48.2), defensive efficiency (102.2–105.8), strength of schedule (-0.2–-4.3), recent form (6.7–2.2).

American University COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (110.6–106.5), net efficiency (4.8–4.3), shooting efficiency (52.6–49.8).

Final

American University

57—84

Saint Joseph's

Saint Joseph's by 27 • 67.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

American UniversityTEAM STATSaint Joseph's

20-56FG29-48

36.0%FG%60.0%

7-243PT8-16

29.0%3PT%50.0%

10-15FT18-21

67.0%FT%86.0%

25Rebounds32

11Offensive Rebounds6

11Assists15

16Turnovers15

10Steals9

2Blocks5

16Fouls13

Player Box Score

American University

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Matt Rogers	Forward	24	8-13	2-4	1-2	4	2	0	0	19
Greg Jones	F	22	6-7	2-3	5-5	6	1	5	0	19
Julen Iturbe	F	16	4-7	2-4	1-2	4	0	1	1	11
Colin Smalls	Guard	19	1-5	0-4	2-3	0	0	0	0	4
Matt Mayock	F	34	1-5	1-2	0-0	1	1	1	0	3
Adrian Samuels	G	11	0-1	0-1	1-2	1	0	1	0	1
Lincoln Ball	Guard	25	0-6	0-1	0-0	3	1	0	1	0
Geoff Sprouse	G	20	0-5	0-4	0-1	0	2	0	0	0
Wyatt Nausadis	G	17	0-3	0-1	0-0	0	3	2	0	0
Mason Whittaker	Forward	8	0-3	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Noah Jones	F	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Saint Joseph's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Rasheer Fleming	Forward	31	11-15	2-4	2-4	11	1	4	3	26
Erik Reynolds II	Guard	32	8-13	3-7	4-4	3	6	1	0	23
Derek Simpson	G	24	4-7	1-2	6-6	5	5	2	1	15
Dasear Haskins	G	28	4-5	1-1	1-1	2	1	0	1	10
Mekai Johnson	G	28	1-4	1-2	2-2	5	2	1	0	5
Anthony Finkley	F	22	0-3	0-0	2-2	3	0	1	0	2
Justice Ajogbor	C	17	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Shawn Simmons II	F	13	0-0	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	1
Will Lange	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Billy Rayer	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.6Possessions67.6

84.3Offensive Efficiency124.3

124.3Defensive Efficiency84.3

-39.9Net Efficiency39.9

42.0%Effective FG%68.8%

45.1%True Shooting %72.4%

23.5%Turnover Rate22.4%

26.8%Free Throw Rate43.8%

42.9%3-Point Rate33.3%

0.69Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Saint Joseph's won by 27 points. The game played at approximately 67.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.