Northern Illinois

9-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

3.5%Northern Illinois

96.5%Illinois State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADIllinois State -22.2

PROJECTED TOTAL146.0

MODEL MONEYLINEIllinois State -2757

Illinois State

23-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreNorthern Illinois 62

Projected Total146.0

Projected ScoreIllinois State 84

Team Comparison

Northern IllinoisMetricIllinois State

29.2MMH Power Index54.3

99.7Offensive Efficiency110.6

111.6Defensive Efficiency101.4

-11.9Net Efficiency9.2

-2.1Strength of Schedule1.0

-28.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-4.4

69.7Tempo67.5

48.5%Effective FG%54.3%

21.3%Turnover Rate16.8%

31.7%Offensive Rebound %28.3%

39.6%Free Throw Rate32.0%

-8.3Average Margin6.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Illinois State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY96.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIllinois State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.3–29.2), offensive efficiency (110.6–99.7), defensive efficiency (101.4–111.6), net efficiency (9.2–-11.9).

Northern Illinois COUNTERS WITHoffensive rebounding (31.7–28.3), free throw rate (39.6–32.0).

Final

Northern Illinois

60—81

Illinois State

Illinois State by 21 • 70.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Northern IllinoisTEAM STATIllinois State

22-60FG30-60

37.0%FG%50.0%

6-293PT10-24

21.0%3PT%42.0%

10-12FT11-14

83.0%FT%79.0%

26Rebounds46

5Offensive Rebounds11

10Assists19

10Turnovers14

6Steals6

2Blocks—

18Fouls14

Player Box Score

Northern Illinois

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Quentin Jones	G	40	9-18	1-6	8-10	2	1	1	0	27
Kailon Nicholls	G	38	6-9	0-2	0-0	3	3	2	0	12
Tsvet Sotirov	F	27	3-5	3-5	0-0	3	0	2	1	9
James Dent Jr.	G	30	1-11	1-7	2-2	5	4	1	0	5
Nas Muhammad	G	23	1-7	1-4	0-0	4	2	0	0	3
Joe Munden Jr.	Not Available	25	1-8	0-4	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Jayden Mott	F	13	1-2	0-1	0-0	4	0	0	1	2
Steven Tipton	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Illinois State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Dalton Banks	Guard	28	8-10	0-1	1-2	8	3	3	17
Chase Walker	F	18	5-6	1-1	4-4	6	1	0	15
Johnny Kinziger	G	29	4-12	4-8	0-0	7	6	3	12
Jack Daugherty	F	19	4-7	4-7	0-0	4	2	0	12
Malachi Poindexter	Guard	25	4-12	1-4	0-0	0	2	0	9
Landon Wolf	G	19	2-5	0-2	0-1	5	1	0	4
Cameron Barnes	F	6	1-2	0-0	2-3	4	0	0	4
Ty Blake	G	5	0-1	0-0	4-4	0	0	0	4
Ty Pence	G	16	1-2	0-1	0-0	4	1	0	2
Caden Boser	Forward	16	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	2	0	2
Cade Norris	G	12	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0
Jordan Davis	Guard	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.2Possessions70.2

85.5Offensive Efficiency115.4

115.4Defensive Efficiency85.5

-29.9Net Efficiency29.9

41.7%Effective FG%58.3%

45.7%True Shooting %60.8%

14.1%Turnover Rate20.1%

20.0%Free Throw Rate23.3%

48.3%3-Point Rate40.0%

1.00Assist / Turnover1.36

Game Summary

Illinois State won by 21 points. The game played at approximately 70.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.