Tarleton State

14-18

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

18.2%Tarleton State

81.8%Oklahoma State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADOklahoma State -9.0

PROJECTED TOTAL161.1

MODEL MONEYLINEOklahoma State -449

Oklahoma State

20-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTarleton State 76

Projected Total161.1

Projected ScoreOklahoma State 85

Team Comparison

Tarleton StateMetricOklahoma State

44.6MMH Power Index53.5

103.2Offensive Efficiency112.1

101.6Defensive Efficiency111.2

1.6Net Efficiency0.9

-2.3Strength of Schedule6.1

-6.7Last 10 Net Efficiency-8.5

72.2Tempo74.8

49.0%Effective FG%52.2%

19.9%Turnover Rate15.8%

31.8%Offensive Rebound %30.5%

42.8%Free Throw Rate40.3%

1.1Average Margin0.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Tarleton State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY81.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTarleton State holds the advantage in defensive efficiency (101.6–111.2), net efficiency (1.6–0.9), recent form (-6.7–-8.5), offensive rebounding (31.8–30.5).

Oklahoma State COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (53.5–44.6), offensive efficiency (112.1–103.2), strength of schedule (6.1–-2.3).

Final

Tarleton State

61—66

Oklahoma State

Oklahoma State by 5 • 68.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Tarleton StateTEAM STATOklahoma State

25-54FG22-55

46.0%FG%40.0%

7-183PT8-23

39.0%3PT%35.0%

4-10FT14-19

40.0%FT%74.0%

26Rebounds42

4Offensive Rebounds14

8Assists13

14Turnovers18

11Steals7

4Blocks1

18Fouls17

Player Box Score

Tarleton State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Keitenn Bristow	F	29	6-10	4-7	1-2	7	0	0	0	17
Marty Silvera	Guard	39	7-11	2-5	0-0	4	6	5	0	16
Chris Mpaka	F	33	4-9	0-0	2-6	4	0	2	4	10
Izzy Miles	G	32	5-8	0-1	0-0	8	1	2	0	10
Bubu Benjamin	G	40	2-12	0-3	1-2	3	1	1	0	5
Dantwan Grimes	Guard	18	1-3	1-2	0-0	0	0	1	0	3
Nick Krass	G	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jordan Mizell	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Oklahoma State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Marchelus Avery	Forward	28	5-12	3-6	5-8	10	0	0	0	18
Bryce Thompson	Guard	31	4-11	2-6	0-1	7	1	2	0	10
Jamyron Keller	G	26	3-7	0-3	4-4	2	3	0	0	10
Abou Ousmane	Forward	27	3-9	0-2	2-2	7	3	2	1	8
Khalil Brantley	Guard	26	3-5	2-3	0-0	2	2	3	0	8
Arturo Dean	Guard	15	1-3	1-1	2-2	1	3	0	0	5
Davonte Davis	Guard	16	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	2
Brandon Newman	Guard	11	1-3	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Andrija Vukovic	F	2	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Robert Jennings II	F	11	0-1	0-1	1-2	3	0	0	0	1
Patrick Suemnick	F	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.4Possessions68.4

89.2Offensive Efficiency96.5

96.5Defensive Efficiency89.2

-7.3Net Efficiency7.3

52.8%Effective FG%47.3%

51.9%True Shooting %51.5%

20.4%Turnover Rate26.5%

18.5%Free Throw Rate34.5%

33.3%3-Point Rate41.8%

0.57Assist / Turnover0.72

Game Summary

Oklahoma State won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 68.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.