App State

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

77.4%App State

22.6%Louisiana

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADApp State -7.5

PROJECTED TOTAL134.7

MODEL MONEYLINEApp State -342

Louisiana

11-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreApp State 71

Projected Total134.7

Projected ScoreLouisiana 64

Team Comparison

App StateMetricLouisiana

54.2MMH Power Index38.6

110.9Offensive Efficiency99.3

101.7Defensive Efficiency110.2

9.2Net Efficiency-10.9

-4.2Strength of Schedule1.5

7.0Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.0

64.9Tempo64.1

51.1%Effective FG%47.1%

15.2%Turnover Rate16.8%

34.2%Offensive Rebound %28.2%

39.8%Free Throw Rate29.5%

6.0Average Margin-7.0

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

App State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY77.4%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMApp State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.2–38.6), offensive efficiency (110.9–99.3), defensive efficiency (101.7–110.2), net efficiency (9.2–-10.9).

Louisiana COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (1.5–-4.2).

Final

App State

62—68

Louisiana

Louisiana by 6 • 65.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

App StateTEAM STATLouisiana

20-48FG23-55

42.0%FG%42.0%

4-183PT9-24

22.0%3PT%38.0%

18-29FT13-17

62.0%FT%76.0%

31Rebounds36

7Offensive Rebounds9

8Assists12

11Turnovers12

9Steals4

2Blocks3

18Fouls21

Player Box Score

App State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Dior Conners	G	28	6-9	3-5	0-0	4	1	0	0	15
CJ Huntley	Forward	26	4-8	0-1	3-5	2	1	0	1	11
Myles Tate	Guard	37	2-10	1-6	5-6	7	3	5	0	10
Jalil Beaubrun	Forward	15	2-6	0-1	5-10	1	0	1	0	9
Jackson Threadgill	Guard	33	4-5	0-1	0-0	4	0	0	1	8
Alonzo Dodd	G	28	1-3	0-0	5-8	2	1	3	0	7
Michael Marcus Jr.	F	19	1-3	0-1	0-0	5	1	0	0	2
Jason Clarke Jr.	G	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
Jamil Muttilib	G	4	0-3	0-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Luke Wilson	C	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Louisiana

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Mostapha El Moutaouakkil	G	25	4-13	0-0	7-9	8	3	2	0	15
Michael Thomas	Guard	22	3-5	3-5	2-2	3	1	0	0	11
Kyran Ratliff	F	31	5-9	0-2	0-2	10	0	1	2	10
Kyndall Davis	G	27	4-7	2-5	0-0	3	3	0	0	10
Kentrell Garnett	Guard	39	2-5	1-4	4-4	5	3	1	1	9
London Fields	G	8	2-4	2-3	0-0	2	0	0	0	6
Brandon Hardy	G	19	2-6	1-4	0-0	1	0	0	0	5
Christian Wright	Guard	20	1-5	0-1	0-0	0	2	0	0	2
Zeke Cook	F	7	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Jeremiah Evans	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.9Possessions65.9

94.1Offensive Efficiency103.2

103.2Defensive Efficiency94.1

-9.1Net Efficiency9.1

45.8%Effective FG%50.0%

50.2%True Shooting %53.9%

16.7%Turnover Rate18.2%

60.4%Free Throw Rate30.9%

37.5%3-Point Rate43.6%

0.73Assist / Turnover1.00

Game Summary

Louisiana won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 65.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.