Utah Valley

25-9

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

72.3%Utah Valley

27.7%Idaho State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUtah Valley -7.1

PROJECTED TOTAL151.7

MODEL MONEYLINEUtah Valley -261

Idaho State

13-20

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUtah Valley 79

Projected Total151.7

Projected ScoreIdaho State 72

Team Comparison

Utah ValleyMetricIdaho State

59.1MMH Power Index45.9

113.4Offensive Efficiency111.0

97.3Defensive Efficiency113.4

16.1Net Efficiency-2.4

-3.3Strength of Schedule0.2

6.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.6

70.6Tempo67.1

56.0%Effective FG%52.2%

19.9%Turnover Rate16.5%

36.2%Offensive Rebound %33.9%

37.3%Free Throw Rate39.1%

11.4Average Margin-1.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Utah Valley HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY72.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUtah Valley holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.1–45.9), offensive efficiency (113.4–111.0), defensive efficiency (97.3–113.4), net efficiency (16.1–-2.4).

Idaho State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.2–-3.3), ball security (16.5–19.9), free throw rate (39.1–37.3).

Final

Utah Valley

70—56

Idaho State

Utah Valley by 14 • 71.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Utah ValleyTEAM STATIdaho State

28-64FG19-54

44.0%FG%35.0%

4-183PT4-14

22.0%3PT%29.0%

10-14FT14-23

71.0%FT%61.0%

36Rebounds39

6Offensive Rebounds9

14Assists9

8Turnovers14

5Steals3

5Blocks9

19Fouls19

Player Box Score

Utah Valley

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Carter Welling	F	31	9-14	1-3	4-4	9	1	2	3	23
Dominick Nelson	G	30	4-8	0-1	6-8	1	0	0	0	14
Jackson Holcombe	G	28	6-12	0-1	0-2	7	0	1	0	12
Tanner Toolson	G	18	2-7	2-5	0-0	1	2	1	0	6
Cory Wells	F	21	2-5	0-1	0-0	3	0	1	1	4
Osiris Grady	F	12	2-3	0-0	0-0	2	1	0	0	4
Hayden Welling	F	9	1-4	1-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Trevan Leonhardt	G	31	1-5	0-3	0-0	6	8	0	1	2
Kylin Green	G	12	1-3	0-1	0-0	3	1	0	0	2
Noah Taitz	G	8	0-3	0-2	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Idaho State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jake O'Neil	Guard	38	7-17	1-1	6-9	14	1	0	1	21
Isaiah Griffin	F	31	4-9	1-2	2-5	4	0	0	0	11
AJ Burgin	Guard	28	4-8	2-4	0-0	2	4	1	0	10
Jackson Greene	Forward	27	0-1	0-0	5-6	8	0	0	3	5
Connor Hollenbeck	F	26	2-8	0-3	0-0	2	1	1	1	4
Quentin Meza	G	12	1-4	0-1	1-2	0	0	0	0	3
Evan Otten	F	18	1-3	0-0	0-0	5	2	0	4	2
Jaedyn Brown	G	10	0-3	0-3	0-1	1	1	0	0	0
Blake Daberkow	F	9	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Joey Madimba	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.3Possessions71.3

98.2Offensive Efficiency78.5

78.5Defensive Efficiency98.2

19.6Net Efficiency-19.6

46.9%Effective FG%38.9%

49.5%True Shooting %43.1%

11.0%Turnover Rate20.0%

21.9%Free Throw Rate42.6%

28.1%3-Point Rate25.9%

1.75Assist / Turnover0.64

Game Summary

Utah Valley won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 71.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.