Idaho

21-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

50.6%Idaho

49.4%UC Davis

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUC Davis -0.8

PROJECTED TOTAL154.0

MODEL MONEYLINEIdaho -102

UC Davis

19-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreIdaho 77

Projected Total154.0

Projected ScoreUC Davis 77

Team Comparison

IdahoMetricUC Davis

53.2MMH Power Index48.4

111.6Offensive Efficiency107.2

104.3Defensive Efficiency103.7

7.3Net Efficiency3.5

-2.4Strength of Schedule-1.9

4.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-0.1

69.7Tempo72.4

52.8%Effective FG%52.3%

15.1%Turnover Rate17.7%

29.5%Offensive Rebound %26.7%

34.6%Free Throw Rate41.5%

5.1Average Margin2.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Idaho HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY50.6%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMIdaho holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.2–48.4), offensive efficiency (111.6–107.2), net efficiency (7.3–3.5), recent form (4.5–-0.1).

UC Davis COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (103.7–104.3), strength of schedule (-1.9–-2.4), free throw rate (41.5–34.6).

Final

Idaho

66—74

UC Davis

UC Davis by 8 • 70.7 estimated possessions

Team Stats

IdahoTEAM STATUC Davis

21-58FG21-50

36.0%FG%42.0%

6-243PT5-14

25.0%3PT%36.0%

18-21FT27-43

86.0%FT%63.0%

33Rebounds41

11Offensive Rebounds15

5Assists12

15Turnovers14

9Steals9

3Blocks6

25Fouls19

Player Box Score

Idaho

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kolton Mitchell	G	36	8-12	4-7	6-6	2	0	6	0	26
Takai Hardy	Forward	25	5-9	0-0	3-6	10	2	0	0	13
Jojo Anderson	G	28	3-7	1-3	5-5	0	2	1	1	12
Kristian Gonzalez	G	18	2-7	0-3	0-0	1	0	1	0	4
Tyler Linhardt	F	8	1-3	0-1	2-2	1	0	0	0	4
Tyler Mrus	F	33	1-10	1-7	0-0	3	0	0	1	3
Julius Mims	F	8	1-3	0-2	0-0	1	0	0	1	2
Ewan Steele	F	7	0-1	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Jack Payne	G	23	0-2	0-1	0-0	5	0	1	0	0
Isaiah Brickner	G	8	0-2	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	0
Jayden Stevens	Forward	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Miles Klapper	G	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UC Davis

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
TY Johnson	Guard	36	6-17	0-3	7-14	4	2	4	0	19
Niko Rocak	F	33	3-4	1-1	6-8	11	1	4	4	13
Leo DeBruhl	Guard	36	3-9	1-3	4-4	5	6	0	0	11
Connor Sevilla	G	27	2-4	2-4	4-4	0	1	0	0	10
Pablo Tamba	F	19	3-6	0-0	3-7	5	0	1	2	9
Nils Cooper	G	19	2-3	0-0	3-4	4	1	0	0	7
Carl Daughtery Jr.	G	15	2-4	1-2	0-2	1	1	0	0	5
Sione Lose	Guard	11	0-2	0-1	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Isaiah Chappell	F	4	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

70.7Possessions70.7

93.4Offensive Efficiency104.7

104.7Defensive Efficiency93.4

-11.3Net Efficiency11.3

41.4%Effective FG%47.0%

48.5%True Shooting %52.5%

20.8%Turnover Rate20.2%

36.2%Free Throw Rate86.0%

41.4%3-Point Rate28.0%

0.33Assist / Turnover0.86

Game Summary

UC Davis won by 8 points. The game played at approximately 70.7 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.