VCU

28-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

42.9%VCU

57.1%New Mexico

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADNew Mexico -3.3

PROJECTED TOTAL155.0

MODEL MONEYLINENew Mexico -133

New Mexico

26-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreVCU 76

Projected Total155.0

Projected ScoreNew Mexico 79

Team Comparison

VCUMetricNew Mexico

65.7MMH Power Index63.7

116.4Offensive Efficiency114.8

103.3Defensive Efficiency100.2

13.1Net Efficiency14.6

5.4Strength of Schedule2.0

6.0Last 10 Net Efficiency8.3

69.5Tempo70.7

53.7%Effective FG%53.7%

15.1%Turnover Rate14.8%

31.7%Offensive Rebound %30.5%

42.9%Free Throw Rate36.5%

9.1Average Margin10.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

EVEN MATCHUP

WIN PROBABILITY57.1%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

5–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMNo clear statistical separation

Final

VCU

71—78

New Mexico

New Mexico by 7 • 73.4 estimated possessions

Team Stats

VCUTEAM STATNew Mexico

24-57FG27-64

42.0%FG%42.0%

10-313PT3-11

32.0%3PT%27.0%

13-24FT21-30

54.0%FT%70.0%

33Rebounds47

7Offensive Rebounds16

13Assists6

12Turnovers11

8Steals7

6Blocks1

21Fouls19

Player Box Score

VCU

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Max Shulga	Guard	35	6-11	3-7	5-7	1	0	2	0	20
Phillip Russell	Guard	22	3-7	1-3	6-7	4	1	1	0	13
Joe Bamisile	Guard	25	4-11	2-7	2-3	4	2	2	1	12
Zeb Jackson	Guard	25	4-9	2-6	0-1	2	2	1	0	10
Michael Belle	F	15	3-4	0-0	0-5	5	2	0	0	6
Brandon Jennings	G	10	2-2	0-0	0-1	1	2	1	1	4
Alphonzo Billups III	G	14	1-4	1-4	0-0	2	1	0	0	3
Terrence Hill Jr.	G	5	1-3	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Christian Fermin	F	21	0-0	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	1	0
Jack Clark	Forward	16	0-5	0-3	0-0	4	1	1	0	0
Luke Bamgboye	F	12	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	3	0

New Mexico

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Donovan Dent	G	39	14-26	2-4	10-11	5	4	1	0	40
Mustapha Amzil	Forward	34	5-12	0-2	5-7	8	0	1	0	15
Nelly Junior Joseph	Center	31	5-11	0-0	5-8	11	1	2	1	15
Braden Appelhans	G	17	1-2	1-1	1-2	1	0	0	0	4
Filip Borovicanin	F	33	1-6	0-1	0-0	9	0	0	0	2
Kayde Dotson	G	15	1-4	0-1	0-0	3	0	2	0	2
CJ Noland	Guard	16	0-2	0-2	0-0	3	1	0	0	0
Atiki Ally Atiki	Forward	9	0-1	0-0	0-2	0	0	1	0	0
Jovan Milicevic	F	6	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.4Possessions73.4

96.7Offensive Efficiency106.3

106.3Defensive Efficiency96.7

-9.5Net Efficiency9.5

50.9%Effective FG%44.5%

51.9%True Shooting %49.8%

16.3%Turnover Rate15.0%

42.1%Free Throw Rate46.9%

54.4%3-Point Rate17.2%

1.08Assist / Turnover0.55

Game Summary

New Mexico won by 7 points. The game played at approximately 73.4 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.