Cal State Northridge

20-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

42.1%Cal State Northridge

57.9%USC

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUSC -3.1

PROJECTED TOTAL163.1

MODEL MONEYLINEUSC -138

USC

18-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCal State Northridge 80

Projected Total163.1

Projected ScoreUSC 83

Team Comparison

Cal State NorthridgeMetricUSC

50MMH Power Index48.3

107.3Offensive Efficiency108.5

105.2Defensive Efficiency107.6

2.1Net Efficiency0.9

-0.6Strength of Schedule2.5

1.8Last 10 Net Efficiency-16.0

75.9Tempo72.4

51.0%Effective FG%50.7%

17.3%Turnover Rate17.2%

32.9%Offensive Rebound %33.2%

34.7%Free Throw Rate45.3%

1.6Average Margin0.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cal State Northridge HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCal State Northridge holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.0–48.3), defensive efficiency (105.2–107.6), net efficiency (2.1–0.9), recent form (1.8–-16.0).

USC COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (108.5–107.3), strength of schedule (2.5–-0.6), ball security (17.2–17.3).

Final

Cal State Northridge

69—90

USC

USC by 21 • 71.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Cal State NorthridgeTEAM STATUSC

24-59FG23-49

41.0%FG%47.0%

5-203PT12-19

25.0%3PT%63.0%

16-19FT32-39

84.0%FT%82.0%

35Rebounds29

12Offensive Rebounds6

12Assists18

15Turnovers11

8Steals6

5Blocks2

27Fouls16

Player Box Score

Cal State Northridge

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Keonte Jones	G	34	7-14	0-1	3-4	10	4	2	3	17
PJ Fuller II	Guard	23	5-8	4-6	3-3	1	1	1	0	17
Mahmoud Fofana	F	22	3-5	0-0	0-0	4	0	1	0	6
Festus Ndumanya	Forward	18	2-2	0-0	2-3	2	0	0	1	6
Grady Lewis	F	11	2-3	0-0	2-3	2	0	0	0	6
Jalen Barbee	G	5	2-3	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	5
Marcus Adams Jr.	F	24	2-9	0-2	0-0	4	1	2	0	4
Scotty Washington	G	18	0-6	0-4	2-2	2	1	0	1	2
Jordan Brinson	G	18	1-2	0-0	0-0	4	2	1	0	2
Judson Martindale	Forward	13	0-2	0-1	2-2	0	1	1	0	2
Tyler Beard	Guard	8	0-3	0-3	2-2	0	0	0	0	2
Robert Thibiant	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Sabien Cain	Guard	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	2	0	0	0

USC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chibuzo Agbo	Guard	39	6-10	5-7	6-7	3	2	1	0	23
Desmond Claude	G	37	5-11	2-3	9-10	2	9	1	1	21
Saint Thomas	Forward	24	4-8	3-4	5-6	7	2	1	0	16
Josh Cohen	Forward	20	3-6	0-0	6-8	6	3	1	0	12
Wesley Yates III	G	26	1-7	1-3	2-2	5	0	1	0	5
Rashaun Agee	F	17	1-1	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	0	4
Kevin Patton Jr.	G	7	1-1	1-1	0-2	1	1	0	0	3
Matt Knowling	Forward	17	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	1	1	1	2
Jalen Shelley	F	4	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Isaiah Elohim	G	4	0-0	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Clark Slajchert	Guard	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Bryce Pope	Guard	2	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.8Possessions71.8

96.1Offensive Efficiency125.3

125.3Defensive Efficiency96.1

-29.2Net Efficiency29.2

44.9%Effective FG%59.2%

50.7%True Shooting %66.6%

21.1%Turnover Rate15.2%

32.2%Free Throw Rate79.6%

33.9%3-Point Rate38.8%

0.80Assist / Turnover1.64

Game Summary

USC won by 21 points. The game played at approximately 71.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.