Montana State

18-14

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

70.5%Montana State

29.5%UC Riverside

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMontana State -5.7

PROJECTED TOTAL152.1

MODEL MONEYLINEMontana State -239

UC Riverside

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMontana State 79

Projected Total152.1

Projected ScoreUC Riverside 73

Team Comparison

Montana StateMetricUC Riverside

53.6MMH Power Index41.2

114.4Offensive Efficiency103.1

104.9Defensive Efficiency110.1

9.5Net Efficiency-7.0

-3.7Strength of Schedule0.5

4.9Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.1

68.1Tempo70.7

55.1%Effective FG%49.8%

14.7%Turnover Rate18.5%

28.1%Offensive Rebound %28.5%

30.7%Free Throw Rate35.2%

6.5Average Margin-4.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Montana State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY70.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMontana State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (53.6–41.2), offensive efficiency (114.4–103.1), defensive efficiency (104.9–110.1), net efficiency (9.5–-7.0).

UC Riverside COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.5–-3.7), offensive rebounding (28.5–28.1), free throw rate (35.2–30.7).

Final

Montana State

80—83

UC Riverside

UC Riverside by 3 • 66.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Montana StateTEAM STATUC Riverside

34-70FG30-56

49.0%FG%54.0%

10-263PT5-15

38.0%3PT%33.0%

2-5FT18-20

40.0%FT%90.0%

28Rebounds37

10Offensive Rebounds9

18Assists16

3Turnovers11

7Steals2

2Blocks4

15Fouls15

Player Box Score

Montana State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Brandon Walker	F	24	14-20	3-5	0-0	5	2	2	0	31
Max Agbonkpolo	Forward	35	8-16	3-6	1-3	6	2	1	1	20
Jabe Mullins	Guard	32	3-7	2-5	0-0	1	7	1	1	8
Tyler Patterson	Guard	30	2-5	2-3	0-0	0	0	1	0	6
Patrick McMahon	G	20	2-8	0-4	0-0	3	1	0	0	4
Jed Miller	G	13	2-4	0-2	0-0	2	2	0	0	4
Bryce Zephir	G	12	2-4	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	4
Brian Goracke	Forward	14	1-3	0-1	0-0	3	1	0	0	2
BJ Kolly	F	8	0-2	0-0	1-2	1	0	1	0	1
Chika Nduka	Forward	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	3	1	0	0
Sam Lecholat	Forward	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

UC Riverside

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Barrington Hargress	G	34	7-17	0-3	8-8	1	10	0	0	22
Kaleb Smith	F	33	6-10	1-3	5-7	8	1	0	0	18
Isaiah Moses	G	21	3-7	1-3	4-4	0	2	1	0	11
Joel Armotrading	C	25	5-5	0-0	0-0	9	0	0	4	10
Nate Pickens	G	26	3-8	1-2	1-1	3	2	1	0	8
Parker Strauss	G	21	3-3	2-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	8
Rikus Schulte	F	10	2-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	4
Niyi Olabode	Guard	20	1-3	0-1	0-0	4	0	0	0	2
Jack Whitbourn	C	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	3	1	0	0	0
Gavin Davis	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.5Possessions66.5

120.3Offensive Efficiency124.8

124.8Defensive Efficiency120.3

-4.5Net Efficiency4.5

55.7%Effective FG%58.0%

55.3%True Shooting %63.4%

4.6%Turnover Rate16.3%

7.1%Free Throw Rate35.7%

37.1%3-Point Rate26.8%

6.00Assist / Turnover1.45

Game Summary

UC Riverside won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 66.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Turnover Rate, Net Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.