Portland State

20-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

39.1%Portland State

60.9%Pacific

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADPacific -3.3

PROJECTED TOTAL144.9

MODEL MONEYLINEPacific -156

Pacific

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScorePortland State 71

Projected Total144.9

Projected ScorePacific 74

Team Comparison

Portland StateMetricPacific

50.2MMH Power Index49.6

109.3Offensive Efficiency109.9

100.2Defensive Efficiency104.0

9.1Net Efficiency5.9

-5.6Strength of Schedule-1.5

0.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.3

70.1Tempo66.2

51.7%Effective FG%53.5%

16.6%Turnover Rate19.7%

31.6%Offensive Rebound %35.3%

36.8%Free Throw Rate30.9%

6.4Average Margin3.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Portland State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

7–4

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMPortland State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.2–49.6), defensive efficiency (100.2–104.0), net efficiency (9.1–5.9), recent form (0.4–-5.3).

Pacific COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (109.9–109.3), strength of schedule (-1.5–-5.6), shooting efficiency (53.5–51.7).

Final

Portland State

81—75

Pacific

Portland State by 6 • 74.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Portland StateTEAM STATPacific

30-64FG19-55

47.0%FG%35.0%

5-133PT6-25

38.0%3PT%24.0%

16-24FT31-36

67.0%FT%86.0%

42Rebounds37

12Offensive Rebounds9

17Assists13

10Turnovers12

8Steals4

9Blocks4

25Fouls25

Player Box Score

Portland State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cole Farrell	G	24	6-10	2-3	4-6	5	3	2	0	18
Shane Nowell	Guard	27	4-12	2-4	5-6	3	0	1	2	15
Isaiah Johnson	Forward	30	4-9	0-0	4-5	11	1	1	4	12
Jaylin Henderson	G	32	5-10	1-3	0-0	0	2	1	0	11
Qiant Myers	Guard	37	5-9	0-1	0-0	1	11	1	1	10
Tre-Vaughn Minott	C	15	2-4	0-0	3-4	6	0	1	2	7
Terri Miller Jr.	F	18	2-7	0-2	0-0	8	0	1	0	4
Hayden Curtiss	Center	15	2-3	0-0	0-3	3	0	0	0	4
Isaac Brice	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Kelcy Phipps	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Pacific

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jefferson Koulibaly	G	40	4-12	3-8	4-5	5	2	1	0	15
Elijah Fisher	G	34	2-10	0-3	11-12	5	1	0	1	15
Elias Ralph	F	23	4-7	0-1	7-8	7	2	1	3	15
Lamar Washington	G	36	4-13	0-3	6-8	7	6	0	0	14
Petar Krivokapic	Guard	35	3-7	2-6	3-3	5	2	1	0	11
Carter Benton	G	15	1-3	1-3	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Jazz Gardner	C	6	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Burke Smith	Forward	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Amare Campbell	Center	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Solomon Ominu	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Kris Keinys	F	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Seth Jones	G	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

74.3Possessions74.3

109.0Offensive Efficiency100.9

100.9Defensive Efficiency109.0

8.1Net Efficiency-8.1

50.8%Effective FG%40.0%

53.7%True Shooting %52.0%

13.6%Turnover Rate16.0%

37.5%Free Throw Rate65.5%

20.3%3-Point Rate45.5%

1.70Assist / Turnover1.08

Game Summary

Portland State won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 74.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.