Valparaiso

18-15

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

57.0%Valparaiso

43.0%Western Michigan

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADValparaiso -1.2

PROJECTED TOTAL150.4

MODEL MONEYLINEValparaiso -133

Western Michigan

10-21

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreValparaiso 76

Projected Total150.4

Projected ScoreWestern Michigan 75

Team Comparison

ValparaisoMetricWestern Michigan

49.9MMH Power Index42.8

106.6Offensive Efficiency106.9

105.8Defensive Efficiency113.6

0.8Net Efficiency-6.7

0.3Strength of Schedule2.0

-0.1Last 10 Net Efficiency-9.7

67.5Tempo69.9

48.7%Effective FG%50.3%

15.6%Turnover Rate17.3%

32.4%Offensive Rebound %31.0%

40.0%Free Throw Rate34.6%

0.5Average Margin-4.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Valparaiso HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY57.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMValparaiso holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.9–42.8), defensive efficiency (105.8–113.6), net efficiency (0.8–-6.7), recent form (-0.1–-9.7).

Western Michigan COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (106.9–106.6), strength of schedule (2.0–0.3), shooting efficiency (50.3–48.7).

Final

Valparaiso

76—73

Western Michigan

Valparaiso by 3 • 69.9 estimated possessions

Team Stats

ValparaisoTEAM STATWestern Michigan

29-63FG31-68

46.0%FG%46.0%

5-183PT4-18

28.0%3PT%22.0%

13-19FT7-14

68.0%FT%50.0%

35Rebounds42

11Offensive Rebounds15

6Assists18

8Turnovers11

4Steals2

6Blocks3

17Fouls16

Player Box Score

Valparaiso

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Cooper Schwieger	F	26	7-9	1-2	4-4	6	0	0	2	19
Jefferson De La Cruz Monegro	G	36	4-15	0-3	5-9	4	3	0	1	13
Justus McNair	G	14	5-7	2-4	1-2	4	0	0	0	13
All Wright	G	31	4-13	0-2	2-2	2	1	1	0	10
Tyler Schmidt	G	28	4-7	1-2	0-0	4	1	1	0	9
Kaspar Sepp	F	22	2-3	0-1	1-2	6	1	1	0	5
Isaiah Shaw	G	18	2-4	1-3	0-0	3	0	0	1	5
Devon Ellis	F	12	1-3	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	2	2
Darius DeAveiro	Guard	13	0-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	1	0	0

Western Michigan

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chansey Willis Jr.	G	32	6-15	0-1	4-6	7	7	0	0	16
Owen Lobsinger	Forward	20	6-8	2-2	0-0	4	3	0	0	14
Brandon Muntu	G	31	5-13	2-9	0-0	4	0	0	0	12
Markhi Strickland	G	31	5-9	0-1	0-1	2	1	0	0	10
JaVaughn Hannah	G	27	5-14	0-4	0-0	7	2	0	0	10
Max Burton	F	25	4-5	0-0	2-5	6	1	1	1	10
Donovan Williams	Guard	20	0-3	0-1	1-2	4	2	0	1	1
Marquese Josephs	Guard	6	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	1	0
Jack Stefanski	Forward	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
EJ Ryans	G	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	2	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.9Possessions69.9

108.7Offensive Efficiency104.4

104.4Defensive Efficiency108.7

4.3Net Efficiency-4.3

50.0%Effective FG%48.5%

52.8%True Shooting %48.9%

11.6%Turnover Rate15.6%

30.2%Free Throw Rate20.6%

28.6%3-Point Rate26.5%

0.75Assist / Turnover1.64

Game Summary

Valparaiso won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 69.9 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.