Delaware State

8-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

16.5%Delaware State

83.5%Alabama State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAlabama State -10.4

PROJECTED TOTAL138.1

MODEL MONEYLINEAlabama State -506

Alabama State

10-22

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreDelaware State 64

Projected Total138.1

Projected ScoreAlabama State 74

Team Comparison

Delaware StateMetricAlabama State

28MMH Power Index38

91.4Offensive Efficiency101.7

105.5Defensive Efficiency107.4

-14.1Net Efficiency-5.7

-4.0Strength of Schedule-6.2

-16.4Last 10 Net Efficiency0.0

64.9Tempo71.9

44.5%Effective FG%48.2%

19.8%Turnover Rate18.2%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %32.6%

34.4%Free Throw Rate35.8%

-9.2Average Margin-4.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Alabama State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY83.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMAlabama State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (38.0–28.0), offensive efficiency (101.7–91.4), net efficiency (-5.7–-14.1), recent form (0.0–-16.4).

Delaware State COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (105.5–107.4), strength of schedule (-4.0–-6.2).

Final

Delaware State

83—80

Alabama State

Delaware State by 3 • 68.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Delaware StateTEAM STATAlabama State

31-55FG31-64

56.0%FG%48.0%

9-183PT11-32

50.0%3PT%34.0%

12-19FT7-11

63.0%FT%64.0%

24Rebounds37

4Offensive Rebounds13

17Assists13

9Turnovers12

6Steals7

3Blocks1

13Fouls21

Player Box Score

Delaware State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Robert Smith	G	38	9-15	7-11	1-2	4	2	1	1	26
Martaz Robinson	Guard	40	8-16	1-4	6-8	6	3	2	0	23
Kaseem Watson	F	36	8-12	0-0	0-1	6	4	1	0	16
Corey Perkins	G	28	2-5	1-3	2-3	2	6	1	0	7
Muneer Newton	F	27	2-2	0-0	1-3	2	1	0	2	5
Raymond Somerville	Center	7	2-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Kareem Watson	F	8	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	1	0	0	2
Alston Andrews	Forward	12	0-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	1	0	0
Caleb Surgers	Forward	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Ponce James	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Alabama State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
CJ Hines	G	35	10-18	2-7	3-5	6	3	2	0	25
Amarr Knox	G	35	8-15	3-5	2-2	2	2	3	0	21
Micah Simpson	G	24	4-8	2-5	0-0	1	3	0	0	10
Jalen Keago	G	18	3-5	1-3	2-2	5	1	1	0	9
Micah Octave	G	24	2-5	2-4	0-0	6	2	0	1	6
TJ Madlock	Guard	23	2-5	0-1	0-2	4	1	1	0	4
Tyler Mack	G	18	1-7	1-7	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Ubong Okon	C	20	1-1	0-0	0-0	5	1	0	0	2
D'Ante Bass	Forward	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
JaSteven Walker	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

68.6Possessions68.6

121.0Offensive Efficiency116.6

116.6Defensive Efficiency121.0

4.4Net Efficiency-4.4

64.5%Effective FG%57.0%

64.8%True Shooting %57.8%

13.0%Turnover Rate17.6%

34.5%Free Throw Rate17.2%

32.7%3-Point Rate50.0%

1.89Assist / Turnover1.08

Game Summary

Delaware State won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 68.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.