St. John's

30-6

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

78.3%St. John's

21.7%Providence

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADSt. John's -8.3

PROJECTED TOTAL164.1

MODEL MONEYLINESt. John's -361

Providence

15-18

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreSt. John's 86

Projected Total164.1

Projected ScoreProvidence 78

Team Comparison

St. John'sMetricProvidence

70.3MMH Power Index54.2

114.4Offensive Efficiency115.0

97.6Defensive Efficiency113.2

16.8Net Efficiency1.8

5.5Strength of Schedule4.0

11.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-1.3

70.9Tempo74.2

51.3%Effective FG%55.0%

14.3%Turnover Rate16.7%

34.8%Offensive Rebound %31.8%

41.1%Free Throw Rate37.3%

11.9Average Margin1.3

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

St. John's HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY78.3%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMSt. John's holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (70.3–54.2), defensive efficiency (97.6–113.2), net efficiency (16.8–1.8), strength of schedule (5.5–4.0).

Providence COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (115.0–114.4), shooting efficiency (55.0–51.3).

Final

St. John's

72—70

Providence

St. John's by 2 • 71.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

St. John'sTEAM STATProvidence

29-73FG25-52

40.0%FG%48.0%

3-183PT7-19

17.0%3PT%37.0%

11-26FT13-17

42.0%FT%76.0%

39Rebounds43

18Offensive Rebounds7

11Assists6

6Turnovers17

12Steals1

6Blocks3

16Fouls23

Player Box Score

St. John's

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Zuby Ejiofor	F	34	7-14	0-2	5-12	10	0	0	0	19
Deivon Smith	Guard	33	8-15	1-2	0-1	4	4	2	0	17
RJ Luis Jr.	Guard	27	5-13	0-4	6-11	5	3	2	0	16
Kadary Richmond	Guard	22	5-11	0-1	0-0	5	1	3	0	10
Simeon Wilcher	G	31	1-10	1-3	0-0	6	2	2	2	3
Jaiden Glover-Toscano	G	9	1-2	1-1	0-0	0	0	0	1	3
Aaron Scott	Guard	28	1-7	0-5	0-0	3	1	3	1	2
Vince Iwuchukwu	C	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	2
Sadiku Ibine Ayo	F	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Ruben Prey	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-2	0	0	0	1	0

Providence

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bensley Joseph	Guard	31	7-13	3-7	0-0	8	2	0	0	17
Jayden Pierre	G	33	4-11	2-7	6-6	5	1	0	0	16
Wesley Cardet Jr.	Guard	30	4-7	0-0	2-5	5	0	0	0	10
Ryan Mela	G	22	3-5	0-0	1-2	6	1	0	1	7
Corey Floyd Jr.	G	20	1-1	1-1	4-4	5	1	0	0	7
Rich Barron	F	17	2-6	1-3	0-0	3	1	1	0	5
Anton Bonke	C	19	2-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Oswin Erhunmwunse	F	17	1-3	0-0	0-0	4	0	0	2	2
Justyn Fernandez	G	3	1-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	2
Jabri Abdur-Rahim	Guard	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Christ Essandoko	F	3	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.8Possessions71.8

100.3Offensive Efficiency97.5

97.5Defensive Efficiency100.3

2.8Net Efficiency-2.8

41.8%Effective FG%54.8%

42.2%True Shooting %58.3%

8.2%Turnover Rate24.3%

35.6%Free Throw Rate32.7%

24.7%3-Point Rate36.5%

1.83Assist / Turnover0.35

Game Summary

St. John's won by 2 points. The game played at approximately 71.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Turnover Rate, True Shooting %, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.