Fairfield

21-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

32.2%Fairfield

67.8%Monmouth

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADMonmouth -5.1

PROJECTED TOTAL145.4

MODEL MONEYLINEMonmouth -211

Monmouth

19-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreFairfield 70

Projected Total145.4

Projected ScoreMonmouth 75

Team Comparison

FairfieldMetricMonmouth

50.1MMH Power Index52.2

109.6Offensive Efficiency106.4

105.4Defensive Efficiency103.8

4.2Net Efficiency2.6

-3.4Strength of Schedule0.4

3.3Last 10 Net Efficiency7.0

67.8Tempo68.3

49.1%Effective FG%49.9%

15.0%Turnover Rate16.6%

36.0%Offensive Rebound %31.4%

28.4%Free Throw Rate33.6%

2.8Average Margin1.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Monmouth HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY67.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMMonmouth holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (52.2–50.1), defensive efficiency (103.8–105.4), strength of schedule (0.4–-3.4), recent form (7.0–3.3).

Fairfield COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (109.6–106.4), net efficiency (4.2–2.6), ball security (15.0–16.6).

Final

Fairfield

74—88

Monmouth

Monmouth by 14 • 69.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

FairfieldTEAM STATMonmouth

26-69FG33-60

38.0%FG%55.0%

8-293PT9-19

28.0%3PT%47.0%

14-17FT13-20

82.0%FT%65.0%

40Rebounds36

20Offensive Rebounds13

14Assists17

13Turnovers13

10Steals8

3Blocks6

16Fouls16

Player Box Score

Fairfield

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Prophet Johnson	G	39	9-19	0-3	1-3	15	1	1	0	19
Braden Sparks	G	24	6-13	4-10	0-0	2	2	2	0	16
Deon Perry	Guard	29	3-11	0-7	6-6	2	6	3	0	12
Kyle Jenkins	Forward	22	2-3	1-2	2-2	5	0	1	1	7
Peyton Smith	F	21	1-6	1-2	3-4	4	1	1	1	6
Noah Best	G	11	1-5	0-1	2-2	3	0	1	1	4
Louis Bleechmore	Guard	16	1-2	1-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	3
Makuei Riek	Guard	5	1-3	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Jamie Bergens	Guard	21	1-4	0-1	0-0	2	2	1	0	2
Birima Seck	Forward	5	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Isaac Munkadi	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Michael Rogan	G	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Monmouth

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Abdi Bashir Jr.	G	36	9-21	5-10	4-5	3	4	1	0	27
Jack Collins	G	36	5-8	3-6	0-0	4	5	1	1	13
Madison Durr	G	31	4-6	0-0	4-5	0	5	0	0	12
Jaret Valencia	F	30	4-7	1-2	1-2	8	0	3	4	10
Dok Muordar	C	15	3-3	0-0	2-2	1	0	0	1	8
Cornelius Robinson III	F	8	3-3	0-0	2-4	7	0	2	0	8
Chris Morgan	F	13	3-7	0-0	0-2	5	0	0	0	6
Andrew Ball	G	8	2-2	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	4
Aric Demings	Guard	11	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	3	1	0	0
Justin Ray	G	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Lucas Orchard	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Jack Leahy	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Corey Miller	G	2	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Sam Fagan	G	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Quinn Peters	F	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

69.8Possessions69.8

106.0Offensive Efficiency126.1

126.1Defensive Efficiency106.0

-20.1Net Efficiency20.1

43.5%Effective FG%62.5%

48.0%True Shooting %63.3%

18.6%Turnover Rate18.7%

24.6%Free Throw Rate33.3%

42.0%3-Point Rate31.7%

1.08Assist / Turnover1.31

Game Summary

Monmouth won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 69.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.