UMBC

24-8

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

59.7%UMBC

40.3%Marist

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADUMBC -0.5

PROJECTED TOTAL134.9

MODEL MONEYLINEUMBC -148

Marist

19-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreUMBC 68

Projected Total134.9

Projected ScoreMarist 67

Team Comparison

UMBCMetricMarist

59.1MMH Power Index51

113.0Offensive Efficiency104.3

99.0Defensive Efficiency95.6

14.0Net Efficiency8.7

-5.6Strength of Schedule-3.2

24.7Last 10 Net Efficiency2.9

65.5Tempo66.8

54.3%Effective FG%49.9%

14.3%Turnover Rate16.8%

25.2%Offensive Rebound %29.4%

34.1%Free Throw Rate26.1%

9.1Average Margin5.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

UMBC HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY59.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMUMBC holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.1–51.0), offensive efficiency (113.0–104.3), net efficiency (14.0–8.7), recent form (24.7–2.9).

Marist COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (95.6–99.0), strength of schedule (-3.2–-5.6), offensive rebounding (29.4–25.2).

Final

UMBC

73—76

Marist

Marist by 3 • 73.1 estimated possessions

Team Stats

UMBCTEAM STATMarist

25-61FG29-64

41.0%FG%45.0%

12-293PT3-16

41.0%3PT%19.0%

11-16FT15-20

69.0%FT%75.0%

31Rebounds47

8Offensive Rebounds15

14Assists10

13Turnovers14

7Steals8

6Blocks5

14Fouls14

Player Box Score

UMBC

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bryce Johnson	Guard	41	8-13	2-6	5-7	7	4	2	1	23
Marcus Banks Jr.	G	33	5-19	5-14	0-0	3	0	1	1	15
Louie Jordan	F	17	3-6	3-4	0-0	2	0	0	1	9
Josh Odunowo	F	34	3-7	0-0	2-2	10	4	2	1	8
Marlon Short	Guard	26	4-6	0-0	0-1	3	1	2	1	8
Devan Sapp	Guard	21	2-2	2-2	1-2	1	0	0	0	7
Ace Valentine	G	39	0-6	0-2	3-4	1	5	0	1	3
Regimantas Ciunys	F	10	0-1	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
JC Harris	Guard	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Marist

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Elijah Lewis	G	33	4-8	0-2	9-9	6	1	0	1	17
Josh Pascarelli	G	38	6-14	2-6	2-2	3	2	1	0	16
Jadin Collins-Roberts	G	39	7-11	0-0	0-1	5	1	2	0	14
Jason Schofield	C	20	5-10	0-0	1-2	6	0	2	1	11
Caleb Mackrey	Guard	17	3-5	0-1	0-0	2	1	1	0	6
Jackson Price	Forward	19	2-7	0-3	1-2	5	0	0	1	5
Travis Roberts	SG	9	1-2	1-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Jaden Daughtry	F	34	0-5	0-1	2-4	16	5	0	2	2
Tarik Watson	C	6	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	2
Trace Salton	F	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Parby Kabamba	F	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

73.1Possessions73.1

99.9Offensive Efficiency104.0

104.0Defensive Efficiency99.9

-4.1Net Efficiency4.1

50.8%Effective FG%47.7%

53.2%True Shooting %51.7%

17.7%Turnover Rate19.3%

26.2%Free Throw Rate31.3%

47.5%3-Point Rate25.0%

1.08Assist / Turnover0.71

Game Summary

Marist won by 3 points. The game played at approximately 73.1 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Free Throw Rate, Offensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.