Louisville

24-11

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

60.5%Louisville

39.5%Florida State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADLouisville -3.6

PROJECTED TOTAL161.4

MODEL MONEYLINELouisville -153

Florida State

18-15

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLouisville 82

Projected Total161.4

Projected ScoreFlorida State 79

Team Comparison

LouisvilleMetricFlorida State

67.1MMH Power Index58.7

118.6Offensive Efficiency111.9

102.2Defensive Efficiency108.5

16.4Net Efficiency3.4

6.0Strength of Schedule5.7

1.4Last 10 Net Efficiency7.6

71.0Tempo71.8

56.9%Effective FG%52.4%

16.8%Turnover Rate15.2%

32.3%Offensive Rebound %30.3%

34.1%Free Throw Rate35.2%

11.7Average Margin2.4

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Louisville HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY60.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMLouisville holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (67.1–58.7), offensive efficiency (118.6–111.9), defensive efficiency (102.2–108.5), net efficiency (16.4–3.4).

Florida State COUNTERS WITHrecent form (7.6–1.4), ball security (15.2–16.8), free throw rate (35.2–34.1).

Final

Louisville

90—76

Florida State

Louisville by 14 • 67.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

LouisvilleTEAM STATFlorida State

28-55FG29-55

51.0%FG%53.0%

15-293PT8-20

52.0%3PT%40.0%

19-23FT10-14

83.0%FT%71.0%

29Rebounds23

5Offensive Rebounds3

18Assists13

7Turnovers9

4Steals4

1Blocks4

14Fouls19

Player Box Score

Louisville

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Reyne Smith	Guard	30	8-12	6-9	5-5	1	1	0	0	27
Terrence Edwards Jr.	Guard	36	6-13	1-5	6-7	7	8	1	0	19
Chucky Hepburn	Guard	36	5-12	3-6	3-3	2	8	2	0	16
Noah Waterman	Forward	26	5-8	4-7	1-2	1	1	0	0	15
J'Vonne Hadley	G	33	3-8	1-1	2-2	8	0	1	0	9
James Scott	F	21	1-1	0-0	1-2	4	0	0	0	3
Frank Anselem-Ibe	Center	4	0-0	0-0	1-2	0	0	0	1	1
Khani Rooths	F	14	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Florida State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jamir Watkins	Guard	35	9-15	4-6	3-4	3	3	1	1	25
Malique Ewin	F	31	7-11	0-0	3-5	3	3	0	1	17
Daquan Davis	G	29	3-7	2-4	1-2	2	2	0	0	9
Taylor Bol Bowen	F	21	3-6	0-2	2-2	3	0	1	2	8
Chandler Jackson	G	27	2-6	1-2	0-0	3	4	1	0	5
Alier Maluk	F	10	2-2	0-0	1-1	0	0	0	0	5
AJ Swinton	F	11	2-2	0-0	0-0	0	1	0	0	4
Jerry Deng	F	19	1-6	1-6	0-0	3	0	1	0	3
Justin Thomas	G	10	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Bostyn Holt	Guard	7	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

67.8Possessions67.8

132.7Offensive Efficiency112.1

112.1Defensive Efficiency132.7

20.6Net Efficiency-20.6

64.5%Effective FG%60.0%

68.3%True Shooting %61.6%

10.3%Turnover Rate13.3%

41.8%Free Throw Rate25.5%

52.7%3-Point Rate36.4%

2.57Assist / Turnover1.44

Game Summary

Louisville won by 14 points. The game played at approximately 67.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.