Chicago State

7-25

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

11.3%Chicago State

88.7%Cal State Northridge

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADCal State Northridge -15.2

PROJECTED TOTAL154.0

MODEL MONEYLINECal State Northridge -785

Cal State Northridge

20-14

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreChicago State 69

Projected Total154.0

Projected ScoreCal State Northridge 85

Team Comparison

Chicago StateMetricCal State Northridge

36.1MMH Power Index50

99.4Offensive Efficiency107.3

114.9Defensive Efficiency105.2

-15.5Net Efficiency2.1

0.5Strength of Schedule-0.6

-4.3Last 10 Net Efficiency1.8

66.2Tempo75.9

45.6%Effective FG%51.0%

15.8%Turnover Rate17.3%

29.1%Offensive Rebound %32.9%

30.7%Free Throw Rate34.7%

-10.3Average Margin1.6

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Cal State Northridge HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY88.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMCal State Northridge holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (50.0–36.1), offensive efficiency (107.3–99.4), defensive efficiency (105.2–114.9), net efficiency (2.1–-15.5).

Chicago State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (0.5–-0.6), ball security (15.8–17.3).

Final

Chicago State

57—81

Cal State Northridge

Cal State Northridge by 24 • 78.2 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Chicago StateTEAM STATCal State Northridge

17-52FG29-67

33.0%FG%43.0%

6-243PT4-18

25.0%3PT%22.0%

17-28FT19-21

61.0%FT%90.0%

35Rebounds43

7Offensive Rebounds11

12Assists21

19Turnovers13

7Steals10

6Blocks3

23Fouls20

Player Box Score

Chicago State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Saxby Sunderland	Guard	26	3-7	1-4	7-11	5	2	1	0	14
Matthew Robinson	Guard	22	4-6	3-5	3-4	0	1	2	1	14
Troy McKoy Jr.	Guard	23	3-8	1-4	0-0	2	0	0	1	7
Cameron Jernigan	Forward	14	3-7	1-1	0-0	4	0	0	1	7
Jalen Forrest	G	27	1-7	0-2	4-7	1	1	0	0	6
Gabe Spinelli	G	27	2-5	0-1	2-4	5	2	3	0	6
Noble Crawford	Forward	31	1-7	0-6	1-2	9	6	1	2	3
Michael Brown	Forward	18	0-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	0
Joe Spinelli	Guard	5	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
CJ Delancy	F	4	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	1	0
Alex Raiford	Guard	3	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Cal State Northridge

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Scotty Washington	G	22	4-13	1-6	10-10	2	0	1	1	19
Mahmoud Fofana	F	32	7-10	0-0	3-3	6	0	2	0	17
Marcus Adams Jr.	F	20	5-10	1-3	0-0	6	1	0	0	11
Jalen Barbee	G	12	3-5	2-4	2-2	3	1	2	0	10
PJ Fuller II	Guard	31	3-6	0-2	2-3	4	8	1	0	8
Keonte Jones	G	21	2-5	0-0	2-2	8	4	0	1	6
Jordan Brinson	G	24	2-4	0-1	0-1	4	6	3	1	4
Grady Lewis	F	13	2-4	0-0	0-0	0	1	1	0	4
Festus Ndumanya	Forward	3	1-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Tyler Beard	Guard	14	0-2	0-0	0-0	3	0	0	0	0
Judson Martindale	Forward	6	0-2	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Robert Thibiant	G	2	0-4	0-1	0-0	2	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

78.2Possessions78.2

72.9Offensive Efficiency103.6

103.6Defensive Efficiency72.9

-30.7Net Efficiency30.7

38.5%Effective FG%46.3%

43.6%True Shooting %52.6%

24.6%Turnover Rate16.5%

53.8%Free Throw Rate31.3%

46.2%3-Point Rate26.9%

0.63Assist / Turnover1.62

Game Summary

Cal State Northridge won by 24 points. The game played at approximately 78.2 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.