Mercer

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

32.2%Mercer

67.8%Winthrop

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADWinthrop -5.8

PROJECTED TOTAL162.8

MODEL MONEYLINEWinthrop -211

Winthrop

23-11

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreMercer 79

Projected Total162.8

Projected ScoreWinthrop 84

Team Comparison

MercerMetricWinthrop

54.1MMH Power Index56.2

116.6Offensive Efficiency115.6

106.5Defensive Efficiency104.3

10.1Net Efficiency11.3

-4.4Strength of Schedule-3.6

1.2Last 10 Net Efficiency2.8

70.9Tempo72.4

53.8%Effective FG%51.2%

14.7%Turnover Rate15.0%

33.6%Offensive Rebound %35.5%

38.9%Free Throw Rate44.4%

7.2Average Margin8.2

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Winthrop HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY67.8%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMWinthrop holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (56.2–54.1), defensive efficiency (104.3–106.5), net efficiency (11.3–10.1), strength of schedule (-3.6–-4.4).

Mercer COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (116.6–115.6), shooting efficiency (53.8–51.2), ball security (14.7–15.0).

Final

Mercer

97—102

Winthrop

Winthrop by 5 • 86.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

MercerTEAM STATWinthrop

34-72FG31-57

47.0%FG%54.0%

11-253PT11-23

44.0%3PT%48.0%

18-26FT29-48

69.0%FT%60.0%

39Rebounds43

12Offensive Rebounds11

16Assists18

15Turnovers17

10Steals8

3Blocks5

33Fouls20

Player Box Score

Mercer

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Ahmad Robinson	G	34	10-19	2-7	5-6	4	7	1	0	27
Tyler Johnson	Guard	25	6-13	5-9	2-2	3	1	1	0	19
Angel Montas Jr.	G	21	6-10	2-3	3-7	2	2	1	0	17
Alex Holt	Forward	25	3-8	0-0	3-4	9	1	1	0	9
Laurynas Vaistaras	Forward	16	3-4	1-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	7
Jah Nze	Guard	18	1-6	1-2	3-3	2	2	1	0	6
Marcus Overstreet	F	15	2-4	0-0	2-3	9	1	2	3	6
Cam Bryant	Forward	23	2-5	0-2	0-1	1	1	2	0	4
Brady Shoulders	G	19	1-3	0-1	0-0	2	0	1	0	2
Jah Quinones	Guard	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Winthrop

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Nick Johnson	Not Available	32	7-11	2-4	6-9	5	2	2	0	22
Kasen Harrison	Not Available	30	7-11	1-3	5-8	3	4	1	1	20
Kelton Talford	Not Available	31	4-9	0-0	10-14	10	1	1	3	18
Paul Jones III	G	21	4-7	4-7	1-2	5	0	1	0	13
Bryce Baker	G	20	4-5	4-5	0-1	4	2	1	0	12
K.J. Doucet	Forward	28	2-8	0-2	5-10	5	2	0	0	9
Ryan Jolly	Guard	13	2-3	0-1	0-0	1	2	1	0	4
Tommy Kamarad	F	6	1-2	0-1	1-2	3	0	0	0	3
Tai Hamilton	F	9	0-0	0-0	1-2	3	0	0	1	1
Isaiah Wilson	G	8	0-1	0-0	0-0	2	5	1	0	0
Logan Duncomb	C	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

86.6Possessions86.6

112.0Offensive Efficiency117.8

117.8Defensive Efficiency112.0

-5.8Net Efficiency5.8

54.9%Effective FG%64.0%

57.5%True Shooting %63.9%

17.2%Turnover Rate19.8%

36.1%Free Throw Rate84.2%

34.7%3-Point Rate40.4%

1.07Assist / Turnover1.06

Game Summary

Winthrop won by 5 points. The game played at approximately 86.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.