Georgia State

10-22

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

10.0%Georgia State

90.0%Troy

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTroy -15.4

PROJECTED TOTAL150.5

MODEL MONEYLINETroy -900

Troy

22-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreGeorgia State 68

Projected Total150.5

Projected ScoreTroy 83

Team Comparison

Georgia StateMetricTroy

38.9MMH Power Index54.1

101.3Offensive Efficiency112.6

107.5Defensive Efficiency103.9

-6.2Net Efficiency8.7

-1.7Strength of Schedule-2.2

-10.9Last 10 Net Efficiency2.0

69.5Tempo70.4

45.3%Effective FG%52.1%

15.6%Turnover Rate17.1%

28.2%Offensive Rebound %35.3%

37.4%Free Throw Rate36.8%

-4.3Average Margin6.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Troy HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY90.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTroy holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (54.1–38.9), offensive efficiency (112.6–101.3), defensive efficiency (103.9–107.5), net efficiency (8.7–-6.2).

Georgia State COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (-1.7–-2.2), ball security (15.6–17.1), free throw rate (37.4–36.8).

Final

Georgia State

57—77

Troy

Troy by 20 • 66.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Georgia StateTEAM STATTroy

22-54FG26-60

41.0%FG%43.0%

6-243PT7-24

25.0%3PT%29.0%

7-15FT18-25

47.0%FT%72.0%

29Rebounds43

9Offensive Rebounds17

12Assists14

14Turnovers11

3Steals9

1Blocks3

18Fouls16

Player Box Score

Georgia State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Jelani Hamilton	G	34	6-13	5-11	1-2	2	1	0	0	18
Zarique Nutter	F	28	4-8	0-0	2-2	1	2	0	0	10
Toneari Lane	G	37	4-17	1-10	0-0	4	3	0	0	9
Cesare Edwards	Center	30	4-8	0-1	1-2	3	1	2	1	9
Nick McMullen	Forward	21	1-2	0-0	1-2	6	0	0	0	3
Clash Peters	F	9	1-1	0-0	1-4	5	1	0	0	3
Jason Jackson	Guard	9	1-2	0-0	1-2	1	0	0	0	3
Darnell Evans	Guard	24	1-2	0-1	0-1	1	3	1	0	2
Malachi Brown	G	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0

Troy

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Myles Rigsby	G	29	6-10	3-5	7-10	4	2	2	1	22
Tayton Conerway	G	23	5-7	1-3	2-2	1	5	3	0	13
Marcus Rigsby Jr.	G	24	4-8	0-1	2-2	5	1	1	2	10
Theo Seng	F	18	2-6	1-4	3-3	0	0	0	0	8
Jackson Fields	F	21	3-4	0-1	1-2	3	1	1	0	7
Kerrington Kiel	F	11	1-6	1-3	1-2	5	1	0	0	4
Jerrell Bellamy	C	9	1-2	0-0	2-2	2	0	0	0	4
Thomas Dowd	F	21	1-8	1-5	0-0	6	1	0	0	3
Victor Valdes	F	16	1-3	0-1	0-0	1	2	1	0	2
Cooper Campbell	G	14	1-2	0-0	0-0	3	1	0	0	2
Randarius Jones	C	10	1-3	0-0	0-2	5	0	1	0	2
Braydon Whitaker	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Jackson Porch	Guard	1	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Kameryn Mitchell	G	1	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.0Possessions66.0

86.4Offensive Efficiency116.7

116.7Defensive Efficiency86.4

-30.3Net Efficiency30.3

46.3%Effective FG%49.2%

46.6%True Shooting %53.6%

21.2%Turnover Rate16.7%

27.8%Free Throw Rate41.7%

44.4%3-Point Rate40.0%

0.86Assist / Turnover1.27

Game Summary

Troy won by 20 points. The game played at approximately 66.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.