Coastal Carolina

19-13

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

15.1%Coastal Carolina

84.9%Arkansas State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADArkansas State -11.6

PROJECTED TOTAL155.7

MODEL MONEYLINEArkansas State -562

Arkansas State

20-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreCoastal Carolina 72

Projected Total155.7

Projected ScoreArkansas State 84

Team Comparison

Coastal CarolinaMetricArkansas State

46.8MMH Power Index57.7

104.0Offensive Efficiency113.1

103.0Defensive Efficiency105.3

1.0Net Efficiency7.8

-1.3Strength of Schedule-1.0

-2.0Last 10 Net Efficiency15.2

70.5Tempo73.3

48.7%Effective FG%52.7%

15.3%Turnover Rate19.4%

27.6%Offensive Rebound %38.1%

33.0%Free Throw Rate39.6%

0.7Average Margin5.8

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Arkansas State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY84.9%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

9–2

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMArkansas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (57.7–46.8), offensive efficiency (113.1–104.0), net efficiency (7.8–1.0), strength of schedule (-1.0–-1.3).

Coastal Carolina COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (103.0–105.3), ball security (15.3–19.4).

Final

Coastal Carolina

67—97

Arkansas State

Arkansas State by 30 • 66.5 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Coastal CarolinaTEAM STATArkansas State

24-66FG33-60

36.0%FG%55.0%

6-213PT16-30

29.0%3PT%53.0%

13-19FT15-19

68.0%FT%79.0%

43Rebounds35

20Offensive Rebounds7

8Assists20

11Turnovers5

3Steals8

—Blocks6

12Fouls21

Player Box Score

Coastal Carolina

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	PTS
Jordan Battle	G	31	7-11	3-4	3-4	7	0	0	20
Colin Granger	Center	23	6-13	0-0	4-4	10	1	0	16
Denzel Hines	F	27	5-9	1-3	2-3	10	1	0	13
Rasheed Jones	G	29	2-11	1-5	2-2	5	1	1	7
Henry Abraham	Guard	10	2-3	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	5
Naz Brown	Guard	22	1-3	0-2	1-2	1	1	1	3
Andre Mulibea	G	16	1-3	0-1	0-1	3	1	0	2
Josh Meo	G	25	0-10	0-4	1-2	2	2	1	1
Mabor Majak	Center	17	0-3	0-0	0-1	4	1	0	0

Arkansas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Josh Hill	F	16	9-15	6-12	2-2	0	0	0	0	26
Joseph Pinion	G	30	5-10	4-7	5-6	5	0	3	1	19
Taryn Todd	Guard	27	6-11	1-2	0-2	5	6	0	2	13
Derrian Ford	G	31	4-4	2-2	1-1	1	0	1	0	11
Izaiyah Nelson	F	22	4-4	1-1	0-0	7	1	1	3	9
Rashaud Marshall	F	25	2-8	0-0	4-4	1	1	0	0	8
Dyondre Dominguez	Forward	12	1-1	1-1	0-0	4	0	0	0	3
Justin Johnson	G	7	0-3	0-2	3-4	4	0	0	0	3
Jacob St. Clair	G	2	1-1	1-1	0-0	1	0	0	0	3
Cody Head	G	3	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	2
Terrance Ford Jr.	G	19	0-0	0-0	0-0	4	11	3	0	0
Avery Felts	Guard	4	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Zane Butler	Guard	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

66.5Possessions66.5

100.8Offensive Efficiency145.9

145.9Defensive Efficiency100.8

-45.1Net Efficiency45.1

40.9%Effective FG%68.3%

44.7%True Shooting %70.3%

16.7%Turnover Rate7.5%

28.8%Free Throw Rate31.7%

31.8%3-Point Rate50.0%

0.73Assist / Turnover4.00

Game Summary

Arkansas State won by 30 points. The game played at approximately 66.5 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.