Air Force

3-29

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

1.0%Air Force

99.0%Boise State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADBoise State -30.7

PROJECTED TOTAL147.6

MODEL MONEYLINEBoise State -9900

Boise State

20-12

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreAir Force 58

Projected Total147.6

Projected ScoreBoise State 89

Team Comparison

Air ForceMetricBoise State

23MMH Power Index59.5

91.3Offensive Efficiency113.9

118.5Defensive Efficiency107.1

-27.2Net Efficiency6.8

6.2Strength of Schedule4.2

-33.5Last 10 Net Efficiency5.2

67.4Tempo68.6

49.0%Effective FG%52.7%

21.9%Turnover Rate17.0%

21.4%Offensive Rebound %33.8%

35.9%Free Throw Rate42.7%

-18.3Average Margin4.7

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Boise State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY99.0%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

10–1

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMBoise State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (59.5–23.0), offensive efficiency (113.9–91.3), defensive efficiency (107.1–118.5), net efficiency (6.8–-27.2).

Air Force COUNTERS WITHstrength of schedule (6.2–4.2).

Final

Air Force

59—77

Boise State

Boise State by 18 • 64.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Air ForceTEAM STATBoise State

23-42FG29-54

55.0%FG%54.0%

7-153PT3-13

47.0%3PT%23.0%

6-13FT16-21

46.0%FT%76.0%

21Rebounds30

3Offensive Rebounds10

10Assists14

18Turnovers12

4Steals6

1Blocks1

21Fouls16

Player Box Score

Air Force

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Luke Kearney	F	28	6-10	4-6	0-0	1	2	0	0	16
Kyle Marshall	G	35	5-7	1-1	2-4	3	1	2	0	13
Sam Springer	F	23	2-4	1-2	3-3	3	0	1	0	8
Wesley Celichowski	C	20	4-6	0-0	0-2	1	0	0	0	8
Caleb Walker	F	20	3-7	0-0	1-2	6	0	0	0	7
Ethan Taylor	Guard	35	1-4	1-4	0-0	1	5	0	1	3
Jeffrey Mills	Guard	24	1-2	0-1	0-2	3	1	1	0	2
Byron Brown	Guard	4	1-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	2
Will Cooper	F	9	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	1	0	0	0
A.J. Patterson	G	2	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Boise State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tyson Degenhart	Forward	32	7-10	1-1	4-6	6	0	1	0	19
Alvaro Cardenas	Guard	39	6-13	1-5	2-2	0	12	2	0	15
O'Mar Stanley	Forward	27	6-11	0-1	3-4	6	0	0	1	15
Andrew Meadow	F	36	4-8	1-4	5-5	4	0	0	0	14
Javan Buchanan	F	25	5-7	0-0	0-1	5	0	0	0	10
Chris Lockett Jr.	G	15	1-3	0-1	2-2	0	0	2	0	4
RJ Keene II	G	17	0-0	0-0	0-1	3	1	0	0	0
Dylan Anderson	C	8	0-1	0-1	0-0	1	1	1	0	0
Emmanuel Ugbo	F	1	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

64.6Possessions64.6

91.3Offensive Efficiency119.2

119.2Defensive Efficiency91.3

-27.9Net Efficiency27.9

63.1%Effective FG%56.5%

61.2%True Shooting %60.2%

28.5%Turnover Rate18.2%

31.0%Free Throw Rate38.9%

35.7%3-Point Rate24.1%

0.56Assist / Turnover1.17

Game Summary

Boise State won by 18 points. The game played at approximately 64.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.