Georgia Southern

21-16

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

36.8%Georgia Southern

63.2%Texas State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTexas State -4.9

PROJECTED TOTAL155.2

MODEL MONEYLINETexas State -172

Texas State

19-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreGeorgia Southern 75

Projected Total155.2

Projected ScoreTexas State 80

Team Comparison

Georgia SouthernMetricTexas State

49.1MMH Power Index49.4

112.3Offensive Efficiency107.7

110.6Defensive Efficiency103.4

1.7Net Efficiency4.3

-2.2Strength of Schedule-4.7

1.7Last 10 Net Efficiency9.1

72.0Tempo68.6

52.1%Effective FG%51.3%

14.5%Turnover Rate18.4%

28.6%Offensive Rebound %34.3%

39.5%Free Throw Rate36.0%

1.2Average Margin2.9

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Texas State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY63.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTexas State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (49.4–49.1), defensive efficiency (103.4–110.6), net efficiency (4.3–1.7), recent form (9.1–1.7).

Georgia Southern COUNTERS WITHoffensive efficiency (112.3–107.7), strength of schedule (-2.2–-4.7), shooting efficiency (52.1–51.3).

Final

Georgia Southern

61—83

Texas State

Texas State by 22 • 69.3 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Georgia SouthernTEAM STATTexas State

20-65FG30-56

31.0%FG%54.0%

10-263PT6-14

38.0%3PT%43.0%

11-19FT17-20

58.0%FT%85.0%

28Rebounds47

13Offensive Rebounds10

12Assists20

8Turnovers14

9Steals4

3Blocks8

14Fouls17

Player Box Score

Georgia Southern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Bradley Douglas	G	28	6-16	3-6	2-4	3	1	0	0	17
Nakavieon White	F	27	3-11	1-3	5-6	2	3	1	0	12
Eren Banks	G	34	3-12	2-7	1-2	2	4	3	0	9
Eugene Brown III	Forward	20	2-4	1-3	2-2	3	0	2	0	7
Micah Smith	F	18	2-3	1-1	0-3	1	1	1	0	5
Dontae Horne	G	16	1-6	1-1	0-0	2	1	0	0	3
Tyson Brown	F	15	1-3	0-0	1-2	5	0	0	0	3
Braylhan Thomas	G	5	1-4	1-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	3
Collin Kuhl	F	21	1-2	0-0	0-0	6	1	2	3	2
Nate Brafford	F	14	0-3	0-3	0-0	2	1	0	0	0
Avantae Parker	F	2	0-1	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Texas State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Tylan Pope	Forward	20	7-8	1-1	8-10	5	1	0	5	23
Tyrel Morgan	Forward	31	7-13	2-4	3-3	10	3	0	2	19
Kaden Gumbs	G	36	5-12	1-2	1-1	8	8	2	0	12
Joshua O'Garro	G	34	3-7	0-1	2-2	9	3	1	1	8
Coleton Benson	G	13	3-6	2-3	0-0	2	2	1	0	8
Austin Green	F	14	2-3	0-0	1-2	2	0	0	0	5
Drue Drinnon	Guard	32	2-5	0-3	0-0	5	2	0	0	4
Nate Deer	F	15	1-2	0-0	0-0	4	1	0	0	2
Bessanty Saragba	F	5	0-0	0-0	2-2	0	0	0	0	2

Advanced Game Stats

69.3Possessions69.3

88.0Offensive Efficiency119.8

119.8Defensive Efficiency88.0

-31.7Net Efficiency31.7

38.5%Effective FG%58.9%

41.2%True Shooting %63.4%

11.6%Turnover Rate20.1%

29.2%Free Throw Rate35.7%

40.0%3-Point Rate25.0%

1.50Assist / Turnover1.43

Game Summary

Texas State won by 22 points. The game played at approximately 69.3 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.