Tennessee State

23-10

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

59.7%Tennessee State

40.3%Morehead State

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADTennessee State -2.2

PROJECTED TOTAL155.0

MODEL MONEYLINETennessee State -148

Morehead State

20-13

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTennessee State 79

Projected Total155.0

Projected ScoreMorehead State 76

Team Comparison

Tennessee StateMetricMorehead State

55.4MMH Power Index47.3

110.9Offensive Efficiency110.8

102.7Defensive Efficiency110.0

8.2Net Efficiency0.8

-3.1Strength of Schedule-4.0

13.7Last 10 Net Efficiency3.1

72.4Tempo67.9

50.9%Effective FG%51.3%

17.0%Turnover Rate17.3%

34.8%Offensive Rebound %36.4%

34.7%Free Throw Rate37.9%

5.9Average Margin0.5

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Tennessee State HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY59.7%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTennessee State holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (55.4–47.3), offensive efficiency (110.9–110.8), defensive efficiency (102.7–110.0), net efficiency (8.2–0.8).

Morehead State COUNTERS WITHshooting efficiency (51.3–50.9), offensive rebounding (36.4–34.8), free throw rate (37.9–34.7).

Final

Tennessee State

68—74

Morehead State

Morehead State by 6 • 65.8 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Tennessee StateTEAM STATMorehead State

26-54FG24-62

48.0%FG%39.0%

10-203PT5-18

50.0%3PT%28.0%

6-10FT21-31

60.0%FT%68.0%

27Rebounds44

6Offensive Rebounds20

9Assists11

13Turnovers9

4Steals5

3Blocks3

22Fouls15

Player Box Score

Tennessee State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Travis Harper II	G	40	8-12	6-8	0-0	6	1	3	0	22
Aaron Nkrumah	G	31	6-12	2-5	0-0	5	2	0	2	14
Carlous Williams	F	28	6-12	0-1	2-2	4	0	0	0	14
Brandon Weston	Guard	33	2-9	0-1	4-5	2	2	1	0	8
JC Brooks	F	25	3-5	2-3	0-3	6	1	0	1	8
Knute Wood	Guard	22	1-3	0-1	0-0	0	2	0	0	2
Josh Ogundele	F	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Louis Daoust	Forward	8	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Justus Jackson	Guard	5	0-1	0-1	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Morehead State

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kenny White Jr.	Forward	36	10-18	1-2	4-8	17	4	1	1	25
Jerone Morton	G	27	5-10	1-3	4-4	6	2	1	0	15
Tyler Brelsford	Guard	26	2-5	1-2	8-8	0	1	0	0	13
Steven Clay	G	19	2-4	1-3	0-0	3	1	0	0	5
Jalen Breazeale	Guard	16	2-5	1-3	0-0	0	2	1	0	5
Khouri Carvey	F	8	2-7	0-0	0-2	5	0	0	0	4
Kade Ruegsegger	Guard	16	0-3	0-3	3-4	1	0	1	0	3
Dieonte Miles	Forward	26	1-4	0-0	0-3	7	0	0	2	2
George Marshall	G	14	0-2	0-1	2-2	1	0	0	0	2
Anouar Mellouk	F	6	0-2	0-1	0-0	1	1	0	0	0
Trent Scott	Guard	6	0-2	0-0	0-0	0	0	1	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

65.8Possessions65.8

103.3Offensive Efficiency112.5

112.5Defensive Efficiency103.3

-9.1Net Efficiency9.1

57.4%Effective FG%42.7%

57.9%True Shooting %48.2%

19.8%Turnover Rate13.7%

18.5%Free Throw Rate50.0%

37.0%3-Point Rate29.0%

0.69Assist / Turnover1.22

Game Summary

Morehead State won by 6 points. The game played at approximately 65.8 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Effective FG%.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.