Lafayette

11-21

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

29.8%Lafayette

70.2%Portland

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADPortland -6.2

PROJECTED TOTAL150.0

MODEL MONEYLINEPortland -236

Portland

15-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreLafayette 72

Projected Total150.0

Projected ScorePortland 78

Team Comparison

LafayetteMetricPortland

39.6MMH Power Index42.7

102.9Offensive Efficiency104.8

110.3Defensive Efficiency110.6

-7.4Net Efficiency-5.8

-1.4Strength of Schedule1.8

-6.4Last 10 Net Efficiency-8.1

67.5Tempo71.0

49.4%Effective FG%52.0%

15.4%Turnover Rate19.3%

25.7%Offensive Rebound %28.7%

33.0%Free Throw Rate36.9%

-5.0Average Margin-4.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Portland HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY70.2%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

8–3

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMPortland holds the advantage in MMH Power Index (42.7–39.6), offensive efficiency (104.8–102.9), net efficiency (-5.8–-7.4), strength of schedule (1.8–-1.4).

Lafayette COUNTERS WITHdefensive efficiency (110.3–110.6), recent form (-6.4–-8.1), ball security (15.4–19.3).

Final

Lafayette

64—74

Portland

Portland by 10 • 71.0 estimated possessions

Team Stats

LafayetteTEAM STATPortland

21-54FG25-52

39.0%FG%48.0%

7-223PT9-19

32.0%3PT%47.0%

15-23FT15-17

65.0%FT%88.0%

28Rebounds36

4Offensive Rebounds3

12Assists20

11Turnovers13

8Steals5

3Blocks2

19Fouls21

Player Box Score

Lafayette

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Justin Vander Baan	C	20	7-12	1-2	2-5	5	1	2	1	17
Mark Butler	G	32	4-8	0-1	3-4	1	4	1	0	11
Alex Chaikin	G	26	1-3	1-2	8-8	1	0	1	1	11
Caleb Williams	G	24	3-7	2-6	2-4	4	4	1	0	10
Luka Savicevic	G	24	2-6	1-2	0-0	3	2	0	0	5
Chris Rubayo	F	12	2-6	1-2	0-0	3	1	0	1	5
Joshua Wyche	G	10	1-2	1-2	0-0	2	0	0	0	3
Andrew Phillips	G	23	1-4	0-2	0-0	3	0	0	0	2
Ryan Pettit	G	18	0-3	0-1	0-1	1	0	3	0	0
Malik Rasul	F	6	0-3	0-2	0-0	0	0	0	0	0
Misha Bednostin	C	5	0-0	0-0	0-1	1	0	0	0	0

Portland

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Chris Austin	Guard	29	6-11	2-2	6-7	2	3	1	0	20
Austin Rapp	F	27	4-6	2-4	5-6	8	3	0	1	15
Kelson Gebbers	G	22	2-4	2-3	4-4	4	2	1	0	10
Mikah Ballew	G	21	3-6	2-3	0-0	1	1	1	0	8
Jermaine Ballisager Webb	C	18	4-5	0-1	0-0	5	2	0	1	8
Max Mackinnon	G	14	2-3	0-1	0-0	4	3	0	0	4
Mezziah Oakman	Center	13	2-3	0-0	0-0	3	2	1	0	4
Vukasin Masic	G	21	1-7	1-3	0-0	2	2	0	0	3
Vincent Delano	G	22	1-4	0-1	0-0	3	2	0	0	2
Bol Dengdit	F	10	0-3	0-1	0-0	0	0	1	0	0
Todd Jones Jr.	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

71.0Possessions71.0

90.1Offensive Efficiency104.2

104.2Defensive Efficiency90.1

-14.1Net Efficiency14.1

45.4%Effective FG%56.7%

49.3%True Shooting %61.6%

15.3%Turnover Rate18.6%

42.6%Free Throw Rate32.7%

40.7%3-Point Rate36.5%

1.09Assist / Turnover1.54

Game Summary

Portland won by 10 points. The game played at approximately 71.0 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Net Efficiency, Offensive Efficiency, Defensive Efficiency.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.