Texas Southern

12-17

GAME THAT MATTERSAT

33.5%Texas Southern

66.5%Abilene Christian

MMH WIN PROBABILITY

MODEL SPREADAbilene Christian -5.4

PROJECTED TOTAL145.8

MODEL MONEYLINEAbilene Christian -199

Abilene Christian

14-19

MMH MODEL PROJECTION

Projected ScoreTexas Southern 70

Projected Total145.8

Projected ScoreAbilene Christian 76

Team Comparison

Texas SouthernMetricAbilene Christian

40.8MMH Power Index42.4

104.2Offensive Efficiency101.1

106.7Defensive Efficiency104.1

-2.5Net Efficiency-3.0

-6.3Strength of Schedule-1.4

3.5Last 10 Net Efficiency-5.3

69.8Tempo69.6

50.3%Effective FG%48.9%

18.4%Turnover Rate20.6%

29.2%Offensive Rebound %32.4%

39.3%Free Throw Rate42.0%

-1.8Average Margin-2.1

MMH GAME INTELLIGENCE

MODEL READ

Texas Southern HAS THE EDGE

WIN PROBABILITY66.5%

STATISTICAL ADVANTAGE

6–5

MMH comparison metrics

WHERE THE EDGE COMES FROMTexas Southern holds the advantage in offensive efficiency (104.2–101.1), net efficiency (-2.5–-3.0), recent form (3.5–-5.3), shooting efficiency (50.3–48.9).

Abilene Christian COUNTERS WITHMMH Power Index (42.4–40.8), defensive efficiency (104.1–106.7), strength of schedule (-1.4–-6.3).

Final

Texas Southern

65—69

Abilene Christian

Abilene Christian by 4 • 77.6 estimated possessions

Team Stats

Texas SouthernTEAM STATAbilene Christian

23-55FG28-66

42.0%FG%42.0%

5-143PT3-21

36.0%3PT%14.0%

14-19FT10-15

74.0%FT%67.0%

37Rebounds41

10Offensive Rebounds15

9Assists16

24Turnovers19

11Steals10

3Blocks5

15Fouls17

Player Box Score

Texas Southern

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Kavion McClain	F	37	7-20	3-7	2-2	7	3	2	0	19
Zaire Hayes	G	38	6-10	1-3	4-6	1	3	3	0	17
Kenny Hunter	Forward	26	4-11	0-0	2-2	6	0	2	2	10
Josh Farmer	F	31	2-6	0-1	5-7	7	0	2	0	9
Kolby Granger	G	36	3-4	1-2	1-2	10	1	0	0	8
Zytarious Mortle	G	15	1-2	0-1	0-0	0	1	1	1	2
Jaylin Jackson-Posey	Guard	13	0-2	0-0	0-0	2	1	1	0	0
Mario Davis	Guard	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	0	0

Abilene Christian

Player	Pos	Min	FG	3PT	FT	REB	AST	STL	BLK	PTS
Leonardo Bettiol	F	37	9-16	0-0	4-6	6	2	1	1	22
Quion Williams	G	32	8-15	1-2	4-5	11	4	1	1	21
Hunter Jack Madden	Guard	38	4-15	1-10	0-0	4	4	2	0	9
Dontrez Williams	G	14	2-4	0-1	2-4	4	0	0	0	6
Nasir DeGruy	Guard	25	2-7	0-3	0-0	3	1	6	0	4
Yaniel Rivera	G	30	1-5	1-5	0-0	3	3	0	1	3
Rich Smith	G	12	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	2	0	2	2
Cade Hornecker	F	5	1-2	0-0	0-0	2	0	0	0	2
Jack Sawyer	F	4	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0
Ma'Shy Hill	F	3	0-0	0-0	0-0	1	0	0	0	0

Advanced Game Stats

77.6Possessions77.6

83.8Offensive Efficiency88.9

88.9Defensive Efficiency83.8

-5.2Net Efficiency5.2

46.4%Effective FG%44.7%

50.8%True Shooting %47.2%

30.8%Turnover Rate24.6%

34.5%Free Throw Rate22.7%

25.5%3-Point Rate31.8%

0.38Assist / Turnover0.84

Game Summary

Abilene Christian won by 4 points. The game played at approximately 77.6 possessions. The largest advanced-stat separations came in Free Throw Rate, Net Efficiency, Turnover Rate.

Advanced game metrics are calculated by Mid-Major Hoops from team box-score totals. Possessions are estimated. Highlighted advanced values indicate the stronger result for that metric; lower is better for defensive efficiency and turnover rate.